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Phillies vs. Mets Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Thursday's MLB Game [9/19/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Philadelphia Phillies-New York Mets Predictions and Game Preview.
Citi Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets this Thursday.

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies will lock horns in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 7:15PM ET.

The Mets will have Luis Severino (10-6, 3.77 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Taijuan Walker (3-6, 6.29 ERA) for the Phillies.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Phillies-Mets game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Mets with a win probability of 58% and the Phillies with 42%."

Phillies vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 7:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Phillies vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Phillies vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Phillies and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mets a 58% chance of beating the Phillies.

According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 58% chance of going over.

 

Phillies vs. Mets Odds [9/19/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Phillies Mets
Run Line +1.5 (-170) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +120 -140
Total o8 (-115) u8 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Phillies vs. Mets Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Phillies vs. Mets matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

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Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB best bets and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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