Flyers vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [11/24/2025]

NHL action continues on Monday at 7:00PM ET as the Philadelphia Flyers square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Lightning game.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flyers vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Monday's clash between the Flyers and Lightning.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 62% chance of beating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Flyers vs. Lightning odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Flyers	Lightning
Puck Line	+1.5 (-175)	-1.5 (+145)
Moneyline	+146	-170
Total	o6 (-105)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flyers vs. Lightning picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Lightning -1.5	+145
Moneyline	Lightning	-170
Total	Over 6	-105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lightning -1.5 at the spread.

Flyers vs. Lightning player props

Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Guentzel a 49.7% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is an 11.0% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tyson Foerster	26.7%
Travis Konecny	25.3%
Owen Tippett	24.1%
Matvei Michkov	23.5%
Trevor Zegras	23.4%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel	49.7%
Nikita Kucherov	46.5%
Anthony Cirelli	31.8%
Brandon Hagel	31.2%
Nick Paul	24.8%

First goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	First Goal Probability
Tyson Foerster	5.0%
Owen Tippett	4.3%
Travis Konecny	4.2%
Trevor Zegras	4.1%
Bobby Brink	3.9%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel	11.0%
Nikita Kucherov	10.4%
Brandon Hagel	6.8%
Anthony Cirelli	6.0%
Nick Paul	4.2%

Flyers vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between the Lightning and Flyers at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Monday, November 24, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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