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76ers vs. Mavericks prediction: Philadelphia favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [1/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Philadelphia 76ers in NBA action at American Airlines Center on New Year's Day, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the 76ers as the most likely winner of the 76ers vs. Mavericks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature stars like Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg and P.J. Washington, while the 76ers will look to Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Paul George.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Sixers vs. Sixers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the 76ers and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the 76ers a 58% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the 76ers winning 116-114.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the 76ers and Mavericks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
76ers vs. Mavericks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | 76ers | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-108) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +118 |
| Total | o230.5 (-110) | u230.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
76ers vs. Mavericks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 76ers -2.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | 76ers | -135 |
| Total | Under 230.5 | -110 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is 76ers to win.
76ers vs. Mavericks player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Philadelphia vs. Dallas game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.
Joel Embiid is expected to lead the 76ers with 28 points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists, while Anthony Davis is projected to have 23 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mavericks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
76ers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the 76ers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid | 28 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 53 |
| Tyrese Maxey | 27 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 48 |
| Paul George | 17 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 36 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Quentin Grimes | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
Mavericks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 51 |
| Cooper Flagg | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 42 |
| P.J. Washington | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| B. Williams | 14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| Naji Marshall | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
Sixers vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Mavericks and 76ers at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the 76ers, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on New Year's Day, with Joel Embiid projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate 76ers vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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