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76ers vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the 76ers vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
123
108
Jan 2, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
Jan 2, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76ers | 27 | 41 | 24 | 31 | 123 |
Mavericks | 33 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 108 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76ers | 27 | 41 | 24 | 31 | 123 |
Mavericks | 33 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 108 |
Q4 00:33 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:44 76ers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:13 76ers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 76ers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:04 76ers misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
76ers turnover
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
123-108
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
120-108
Mavericks turnover
Jump ball. (P.J. Washington gains possession)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
118-108
Paul George defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
76ers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
115-108
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
115-106
76ers personal foul
76ers 60 second timeout
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
115-104
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Tyrese Maxey turnover (bad pass)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
115-101
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
112-101
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
110-101
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
110-98
Paul George defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
107-98
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
107-96
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
105-96
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
76ers turnover
76ers personal foul
76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
102-96
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
102-94
Mavericks turnover
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
100-94
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
98-94
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
98-92
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
96-92
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
96-90
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
94-89
76ers personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-90
76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
94-87
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
92-87
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-84
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-85
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
92-83
End of 3rd Quarter.
76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
76ers personal foul
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-82
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-83
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
90-81
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
88-81
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
88-78
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
88-76
Mavericks turnover
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
76ers turnover
76ers personal foul
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-75
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-76
Brandon Williams offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers turnover
Paul George defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
76ers personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid)
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid)
Adem Bona offensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
86-74
76ers misses two point jump shot
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
84-74
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
82-74
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Paul George defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
82-72
76ers personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-71
76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-72
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
80-70
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
80-68
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
76ers turnover
76ers personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-67
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-68
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
76ers misses three point jump shot
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Klay Thompson offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
77-66
76ers violation
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
75-66
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
75-64
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
75-62
Mavericks turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
76ers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
73-62
76ers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Dominick Barlow makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-60
+1
Dominick Barlow makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-60
Mavericks turnover
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
76ers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
71-60
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
71-58
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Paul George defensive rebound
76ers personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-58
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
68-57
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
65-57
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
65-55
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
63-54
76ers personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-55
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-52
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-52
76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
61-52
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
61-50
Mavericks personal foul
VJ Edgecombe misses regular free throw 1 of 1
76ers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
76ers personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-49
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-50
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
59-48
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
VJ Edgecombe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-48
76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
+1
VJ Edgecombe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-48
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
54-48
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
54-45
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
52-45
Andre Drummond offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
50-45
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
48-45
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
76ers personal foul
Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
Andre Drummond turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
Andre Drummond defensive rebound
76ers personal foul
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-43
Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-42
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-42
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
46-42
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Paul George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-39
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey, Andre Drummond)
+1
Paul George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-39
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
44-39
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
44-37
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks turnover
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Paul George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-37
+1
Paul George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-37
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Paul George offensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
40-37
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
37-37
76ers 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
37-35
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
34-35
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-35
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
31-35
Mavericks personal foul
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
29-35
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
27-35
76ers turnover
76ers violation
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
27-33
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
76ers lineup change (Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin)
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
25-33
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
25-31
Mavericks personal foul
Joel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 2
76ers offensive rebound
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-29
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Joel Embiid misses three point jump shot
VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
24-29
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
22-29
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
22-26
Paul George defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
76ers 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
20-26
76ers turnover
Andre Drummond defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
76ers misses three point jump shot
Andre Drummond offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
20-24
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
20-22
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
18-22
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
18-20
Andre Drummond defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
16-20
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
14-20
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
14-18
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
12-18
Mavericks defensive rebound
76ers personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
76ers lineup change (Jabari Walker, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey, Andre Drummond)
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
12-16
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-13
76ers lineup change (Jabari Walker, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-14
Max Christie defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
12-12
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
10-12
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
10-10
Mavericks turnover
76ers personal foul
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
7-10
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-10
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-8
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-6
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
5-4
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
2-4
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
0-2
76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
Joel Embiid vs. Anthony Davis (Cooper Flagg gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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76ers vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: 76ers vs. Mavericks
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: 76ers favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5
- Moneyline Odds: 76ers -132, Mavericks +115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- 76ers: 59%
- Mavericks: 41%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is 76ers 117-114 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the 76ers a win probability of 59%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the 76ers are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our 76ers vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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