76ers vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the 76ers vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
76ers
123
108
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76ers | 27 | 41 | 24 | 31 | 123 |
Mavericks | 33 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 108 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- 76ers
- Mavericks
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76ers | 27 | 41 | 24 | 31 | 123 |
Mavericks | 33 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 108 |
Q4 00:33 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:44 76ers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:13 76ers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 76ers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:04 76ers misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- 76ers turnover
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +376ers makes three point jump shot123-108
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +276ers makes two point jump shot120-108
- Mavericks turnover
- Jump ball. (P.J. Washington gains possession)
- +376ers makes three point jump shot118-108
- Paul George defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- 76ers turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot115-108
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot115-106
- 76ers personal foul
- 76ers 60 second timeout
- 76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot115-104
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Tyrese Maxey turnover (bad pass)
- +376ers makes three point jump shot115-101
- Adem Bona defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot112-101
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot110-101
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- +376ers makes three point jump shot110-98
- Paul George defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot107-98
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- +276ers makes two point jump shot107-96
- Adem Bona defensive rebound
- Anthony Davis offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +376ers makes three point jump shot105-96
- Adem Bona defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- 76ers turnover
- 76ers personal foul
- 76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot102-96
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Joel Embiid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot102-94
- Mavericks turnover
- +276ers makes two point jump shot100-94
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot98-94
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot98-92
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot96-92
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot96-90
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot94-89
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 194-90
- 76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- +276ers makes two point jump shot94-87
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot92-87
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 292-84
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 292-85
- +276ers makes two point jump shot92-83
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- 76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 290-82
- +1Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 290-83
- +276ers makes two point jump shot90-81
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot88-81
- Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot88-78
- +276ers makes two point jump shot88-76
- Mavericks turnover
- Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- 76ers turnover
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 286-75
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 286-76
- Brandon Williams offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- 76ers turnover
- Paul George defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- 76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid)
- 76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid)
- Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- 76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid)
- Adem Bona offensive rebound
- +276ers makes two point jump shot86-74
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot84-74
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot82-74
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Paul George defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot82-72
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 280-71
- 76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey)
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 280-72
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot80-70
- +376ers makes three point jump shot80-68
- Joel Embiid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- 76ers turnover
- 76ers personal foul
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 277-67
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 277-68
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Klay Thompson offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Klay Thompson defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot77-66
- 76ers violation
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- 76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot75-66
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Anthony Davis offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot75-64
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot75-62
- Mavericks turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- 76ers turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot73-62
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Dominick Barlow makes regular free throw 1 of 272-60
- +1Dominick Barlow makes regular free throw 2 of 273-60
- Mavericks turnover
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- 76ers turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot71-60
- +376ers makes three point jump shot71-58
- Joel Embiid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Paul George defensive rebound
- 76ers personal foul
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 268-58
- P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- 76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- 76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +376ers makes three point jump shot68-57
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot65-57
- +276ers makes two point jump shot65-55
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot63-54
- 76ers personal foul
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 163-55
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 262-52
- +1Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 263-52
- 76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot61-52
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
- +276ers makes two point jump shot61-50
- Mavericks personal foul
- VJ Edgecombe misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 259-49
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 259-50
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +376ers makes three point jump shot59-48
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1VJ Edgecombe makes regular free throw 1 of 255-48
- 76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- +1VJ Edgecombe makes regular free throw 2 of 256-48
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot54-48
- +276ers makes two point jump shot54-45
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot52-45
- Andre Drummond offensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- +276ers makes two point jump shot50-45
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot48-45
- Anthony Davis offensive rebound
- 76ers personal foul
- Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- Andre Drummond turnover (offensive foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- Andre Drummond defensive rebound
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 248-43
- Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 247-42
- +1Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 248-42
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot46-42
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- 76ers offensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Paul George makes regular free throw 1 of 245-39
- 76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey, Andre Drummond)
- +1Paul George makes regular free throw 2 of 246-39
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot44-39
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Jared McCain defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- +276ers makes two point jump shot44-37
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks turnover
- Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Paul George makes regular free throw 1 of 241-37
- +1Paul George makes regular free throw 2 of 242-37
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Paul George offensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- +376ers makes three point jump shot40-37
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot37-37
- 76ers 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
- +376ers makes three point jump shot37-35
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot34-35
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Anthony Davis offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 132-35
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin)
- +276ers makes two point jump shot31-35
- Mavericks personal foul
- Jared McCain defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot29-35
- Mavericks turnover
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot27-35
- 76ers turnover
- 76ers violation
- +276ers makes two point jump shot27-33
- Instant replay
- End of 1st Quarter.
- 76ers lineup change (Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin)
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot25-33
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot25-31
- Mavericks personal foul
- Joel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- 76ers offensive rebound
- +1Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 225-29
- Joel Embiid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- Joel Embiid misses three point jump shot
- VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Jared McCain defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot24-29
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot22-29
- +276ers makes two point jump shot22-26
- Paul George defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- 76ers 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
- 76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Jared McCain, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot20-26
- 76ers turnover
- Andre Drummond defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- 76ers offensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Andre Drummond offensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot20-24
- +276ers makes two point jump shot20-22
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot18-22
- +276ers makes two point jump shot18-20
- Andre Drummond defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +276ers makes two point jump shot16-20
- Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot14-20
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- +276ers makes two point jump shot14-18
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot12-18
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- 76ers personal foul
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- 76ers lineup change (Jabari Walker, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Tyrese Maxey, Andre Drummond)
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot12-16
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- 76ers personal foul
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 212-13
- 76ers lineup change (Jabari Walker, VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 212-14
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- 76ers misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- +276ers makes two point jump shot12-12
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot10-12
- +376ers makes three point jump shot10-10
- Mavericks turnover
- 76ers personal foul
- +276ers makes two point jump shot7-10
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot5-10
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot5-8
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- 76ers misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot5-6
- +376ers makes three point jump shot5-4
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot2-4
- +276ers makes two point jump shot2-2
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot0-2
- 76ers lineup change (Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
- Joel Embiid vs. Anthony Davis (Cooper Flagg gains possession)
- Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
76ers vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: 76ers vs. Mavericks
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: 76ers favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5
- Moneyline Odds: 76ers -132, Mavericks +115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- 76ers: 59%
- Mavericks: 41%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is 76ers 117-114 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the 76ers a win probability of 59%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the 76ers are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our 76ers vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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