PGA Golf Bets: Expert Picks, Best Odds, and Predictions for RSM Classic at FedExCup Fall Finale

It's time to say goodbye to FedExCup Fall as we close out the end-of-year series with The RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Course in Sea Island, GA.

The RSM Classic returns to Sea Island Golf Club, the host venue since the tournament’s debut in 2010. As one of the PGA TOUR’s unique multi-course stops, the first 36 holes are split between the Seaside and Plantation courses before the weekend field shifts exclusively to Seaside for the final two rounds. Both layouts are fairly short by TOUR standards with Seaside at 7,005 yards and Plantation at 7,060 yards.

The Seaside Course is where the championship will ultimately be decided, and its design creates a fascinating dynamic. A par-70 layout with four par 3s, two par 5s, and 12 par 4s, Seaside is one of the shortest setups players face all season. Distance is secondary here as only two par 4s stretch beyond 450 yards, so the short course still demands precision, favoring accuracy and putting over all.

The course features one of the harshest penalty rates as there is water in play on 13 holes and plenty of out of bounds areas players will need to avoid, so it won't play easy just because it's on the shorter side.

This year’s RSM Classic brings a robust field, including, four major champions, ten winners from this season and twelve multi-time PGA TOUR winners. so there should be some tight competition come the final round.

Close finishes are the norm at Sea Island with four of the last six editions decided by one stroke or fewer, with three playoffs in that span.

MORE: Use Dimers' Head-to-Head Matchup Simulator

Hopefully you've tailed along this season or at least utilized our Dimers Pro PGA Predictions model which is on a hot run since the FedExCup Playoffs - most recently cashing  +1400 Tommy Fleetwood winner at the TOUR Championship, hitting a Ben Griffin ladder and Scottie Scheffler win at the Procore Championship and predicting Xander Schauffele's win at +1100 at the Baycurrent classic, and again with Ben Griffin to win the World Wide Technology Championship.

Who Will Win the 2025 RSM Classic?

Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Course, the final stop of the FedExCup Fall schedule and last chance for golfers on the Top 100 bubble to earn fully exempt status for next season.

These win predictions are the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:

• Harris English (Win 7.2%) – English enters with strong late-season form, including a T13 at the TOUR Championship and T12 at the BMW Championship.

• Brian Harman (Win 4.8%) – Harman has been consistently solid with finishes of T19 at the BMW Championship and T22 at the St. Jude as his late-season floor.

• Denny McCarthy (Win 4.3%) – McCarthy’s elite putting powered his best results this season, including a T11 at the Wyndham and T12 at the Travelers.

• Si Woo Kim (Win 3.3%) – Kim has flashed strong form with finishes of T14 at the St. Jude and T19 at the BMW, offering upside but with volatility that keeps him outside the Top 3.

• Chris Kirk (Win 2.9%) – Kirk’s 2025 season has been uneven, but ended with a run of T14, T5 and T9 in his last three TOUR events.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

Dimers' RSM Classic Winner Picks

We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds. 

We'll also highlight any standout prop and placement bets for these golfers if we find any appealing value hidden in the Dimers golf predictions.

Harris English to Win (+2200 on BetRivers)

Harris English has been a consistent threat all season, highlighted by a win at the Farmers Insurance Open and two runner-up finishes in majors, putting him firmly atop the Dimers predictions at 7.2% to win the RSM Classic, giving him fair odds of just +1300.

Since March, he’s delivered nine top-20 results, though Sea Island hasn’t historically been kind to him as he has just one top-25 here since 2017.

He ranks middle of the pack off the tee and in accuracy and struggles on approach, but remains one of the best putters on TOUR (17th).

At his best, he contends anywhere, but he’ll need sharper irons to capitalize at the FedExCup Fall finale.

Brian Harman to Win (+2800 on DraftKings)

The Georgia native returns stateside after just one event overseas since the TOUR Championship, finishing T26 in India .

He's a Sea Island staple with five top-25 finishes, including two top fives.

Harman's run from The Open through the TOUR Championship was about as consistent as it gets (T10, T22, T19, T13) and he should carry that into a familiar event.

Harman’s statistical profile is steady across the board with solid accuracy and dependable tee-to-green metrics, but he’s not the TOUR’s strongest closer with 87th-ranked Strokes Gained on the greens sitting right at the field average.

Still, the course fit, local comfort and recent form give him a meaningful edge identified by the Dimers model with his fair price at +1980 based on our 4.8% win probability.

Denny McCarthy to Win (+3000 on DraftKings)

Making his ninth RSM Classic appearance, McCarthy enters with 10 top-25 finishes on the season and has seen success, finishing T8, T10 and T5 at his best.

He’s average off the tee and slightly above average on approach, but remains one of the TOUR’s best putters (5th in Strokes Gained), producing steady tee-to-green numbers.

Though he hasn’t played on TOUR ince the BMW Championship, he had three finishes of T11, T11 and T12 in his last seven events.

His familiarity here and elite putting give him a path to contention and a chance to secure his first PGA TOUR victory.

Dimers' 4.3% win probability makes McCarthy's fair odds at +2200.

Mac Meissner to Win (+6000 on DraftKings)

Our final winner pick is at its longest odds and shortest win probability of 1.8% on Mac Meissner to push for his first TOUR win.

Meissner has one Top 10 this season and it came at the start of his best run, bagging all of his Top 20s this year since the 3M Open - he's finished T14, 2nd, T47, T14, T27 and T27.

His course fit leaves a good bit to be desired, as he ranks below field average Off the Tee and in Putting, but does flash some skill around the green with his scrambling and sand save ability.

He's a play on value more than anything, but as he sits 90th in FedExCup Fall rankings, will be actively making a push to secure fully exempt status next year.

His 1.8% win probability makes his fair odds at +5450.

Other ways to bet on the RSM Classic with the Dimers model

Beyond outright winners. there are a number of ways to utilize the Dimers' golf predictions to bet on PGA TOUR events.

Top 20 Parlay

Rather than betting on golfers to beat everyone else in the field, consider pairing some of Dimers' value bets or highest-projected finishers to all secure a Top 20 finish. Consider the market including ties to avoid any dead heat reduction.

Only Harris English is favored to finish Top 20 with a 51.2% probability, while  Brian Harman is the lone golfer between 40% and 50% at 43.4%. Our third most-likely winner, Denny McCarthy, gets a 39.8% probability of a Top 20 finish.

All three make a +978 Top 20 parlay at DraftKings.

Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers Pros also have access to the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including every major.
• Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
• Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
• PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.