Parlay these Lions vs. Chiefs player props at +375 odds for Sunday Night Football betting

It's Week 6 in the NFL and we're wrapping up NFL Sunday with another Primetime Parlay built with the Dimers model for tonight's Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions Sunday Night Football matchup on October 12, 2025.

This is our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

To close out NFL Sunday, we're using our model's Sunday Night Football predictions to build a +375 Same game parlay boosted to +500 over on bet365, where new users can also claim a $200 bonus using the bet365 bonus code DIMERS.

+375 Chiefs vs. Lions NFL Same Game Parlay Picks (Boosted to +500)

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Chiefs vs. Lions on Sunday Night Football, October 12.

MORE: Chiefs vs. Lions SNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Travis Kelce 40+ Receiving Yards

First up is Mr. Swift himself, Travis Kelce, to get at least 40 receiving yards.

Kelce has hit this in 4 out of 5 games this year, tallying 47+ in those games, including a pair with over 60 yards.

He's the team's second-most targeted player, drawing at least 5 in all but one game and he's caught 12 of the last 13 passes thrown his way.

While his TE1 days are behind him, Kelce is still a reliable safety net for Patrick Mahomes in an offense that lacks an identity, hampered by injuries and the lack of a run game for more than a full season at this point.

The Lions allow an average of 42.6 yards on 6.8 targets to the TE position per game, and most of the ones they've faced have been third or fourth options on their teams.

The Dimers model projects Kelce for 46.9 receiving yards tonight.

RELATED: Prime Time Prop Bet for Chiefs vs. Lions

Leg 2: Amon-Ra St. Brown 70+ Receiving Yards

One of the league's best receivers has been the model of consistency this season.

Since the Lions' disappointing Week 1 loss in which they never got going, Amon-Ra St. Brown has racked up 70+ yards in four straight games, hauling in at least 7 catches in each contest and hitting 100+ yards twice.

He has receptions of 25+ yards in three of those and in that span, has only failed to bring in 4 targets.

The "Sun God" commands the work in the Lions receiving game with Jameson Williams and Sam LaPorta a distant second and fourth in targets (RB Jahmyr Gibbs is third) and his Yards after the Catch ranks 7th among all receivers. He'll face a Chiefs defense that while good against the pass, has allowed a 70+ yard receiver in 3 of 5 games this season.

His reliable output also makes St. Brown our favorite prop bet of the week, which are on a successful run this season.

Our model projects him for 77.2 receiving yards tonight.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast Week 6 NFL Preview

Leg 3: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer

It's not just yards that St. Brown has been racking up with extreme consistency - he's the game's top scorer this season, too.

His 6 receiving touchdowns (as of Saturday night) lead the league - there are four players tied with 5.

He hasn't scored in every game, but does have two game with multiple touchdowns and hasn't been held without a score in back-to-back weeks yet; he didn't score in Week 5.

St. Brown projects as our third-most likely scorer in this game - all three on the Lions - at a 46.4% probability, which also makes him a value play as a standalone touchdown prop at +145 odds.

Odds correct at publishing and subject to change.

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