Parlay these Jets vs. Patriots player props at odds for Thursday Night Football betting

Week 11 in the NFL has arrived and we're kicking things off with another Thursday Night NFL Parlay built with the Dimers model for tonight's New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Primetime matchup on November 13, 2025, as we look to cash in with the Dimers data.

This has been our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our new NFL Player Projections hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL predictions models, the rollout of our new Sports Betting Podcast and editorial content enhancements.

To kick off NFL Week 11, we're using our model's Thursday Night Football predictions to build a +650 odds Same Game Parlay over on DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can claim up to a $300 DraftKings bonus when they sign up.

NFL parlay tonight - Jets vs. Patriots

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the parlay picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Jets vs. Patriots on Thursday Night Football, November 13.

Leg 1: Breece Hall 15+ Receiving Yards

Our first leg is on Jets RB Breece Hall who draws a tough matchup on the ground tonight. So, that's why we're looking at him in the passing game.

The Patriots allow the fewest rushing yards per game, just 57.5 to running backs, yet they are giving up 38.1 receiving yards per game out of the backfield, seventh most in the NFL.

Beyond the tough matchup on the ground, this Jets receiving game is depleted - Garrett Wilson is out once again, leaving Tyler Johnson, Mason Taylor and trade deadline acquisition Adonai Mitchell as the top receiving options - none clear 36 yards in our projections.

Breece Hall has hit this in five of nine games this season, landing on 14 twice. He's seen 3+ targets in all but two games and has broken a long catch of 15+ yards three times.

He should get his looks as the best player on the field for the Jets tonight and the Dimers model projects him for 18.2 receiving yards.

Leg 2: Hunter Henry Over 33.5 Receiving Yards

We flip to the Patriots side and look to TE Hunter Henry to clear his receiving line of 33.5 yards.

He's over in 5 of 10 this year, most of those coming in the first half of the season but should have a chance to get back to those numbers tonight with fellow TE Austin Hooper and WR Kayshon Boutte out.

The Dimers model projects Henry for 37.5 yards against a Jets defense that sees 7.3 targets, 45.1 receiving yards and 0.8 TDs per game to the tight end position.

Henry has drawn the second-most targets on this team through ten games and with Boutte out, has the second-most receiving yards of any player on the Pats tonight.

Leg 3: Stefon Diggs Anytime TD Scorer

We'll close out with our TD target and we're going with WR Stefon Diggs to find the end zone for the fourth time this season, and the fourth straight game.

It's been a weird season for Diggs in New England, spiking with a pair of 100+ yard games in back-to-back weeks but going scoreless through his first seven games. He finally broke the cold streak and has rattled off a TD in three straight games.

He's getting more comfortable in this offense and is a key redzone target for Drake May - all three of his touchdowns have come inside the 20 and he's brought in 8 of 10 RZ targets, 5th most for WRs in the NFL.

He sits as our second-most likely TD scorer in this game tonight behind only TreVeyon Henderson.

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