Parlay these Chiefs vs. Texans player props at boosted +450 odds for Sunday Night Football betting

It's Week 14 in the NFL and we'll look to close out Sunday with our latest Primetime NFL Parlay built with the Dimers model for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Sunday Night Football matchup on December 7, 2025, with boosted +450 parlay odds from our friends at bet365 sportsbook.

This NFL parlay comes as part of Dimers' biggest football season yet, with the launch of our NFL Player Projections hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy football projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

To close out NFL Sunday, we're using our model's Chiefs-Texans Sunday Night Football predictions to build a +390 Parlay (SGP) boosted to +450 over on bet365, where new users can also claim a $200 bonus using the bet365 bonus code DIMERS.

NFL parlay for Chiefs vs. Texans at +450 odds (boosted from +390)

After simulating Sunday's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following parlay picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Chiefs vs. Texans on Sunday Night Football, December 7.

Leg 1: CJ Stroud 225+ Passing Yards

First up, we're tasking Texans QB CJ Stroud to pass for at least 225 yards for the sixth time this season.

After going under in the Texans' early three-game skid to start the season, Stroud has hit this in every game, except when he left Week 10 early with a concussion, and he put up 79 passing yards in the first quarter in that game before exiting on the first drive of the 2Q.

The Texans' offense is much improved, with even Davis Mills hitting this mark in 2/3 relief appearances, and now Stroud will look to do so again vs. a Chiefs offense that just allowed Dak Prescott to pass for 320 and Bo Nix to pass for 295 in their past three games. KC's passing defense has been good overall this season, but vulnerable in recent weeks.

Stroud draws a projection of 238.9 passing yards from the Dimers model, also over his line of 227.5 for those looking to get slightly better odds.

Leg 2: Jayden Higgins 40+ Receiving Yards

To go along with Stroud's passing prop, we're riding with emerging rookie WR Jayden Higgins to pick up at least 40 receiving yards.

Through the first six games of the season, Higgins saw a combined 13 targets. Over his last six, he's seen 37. He hasn't become a superstar, but his stock is on the rise. 

Higgins' emergence has primarily come with Davis Mills under center, but his role remained consistent in Stroud's first game back, hauling in all five of his targets for 765 yards. He's hit 40+ yards in three of his last four games, landing on 38 in his lone under, with 7+ targets in those three other games.

After getting blown up by both Cowboys WRs last week, the Chiefs will have to try and slow down Nico Collins, ideally opening up Higgins for some productive looks.

The Dimers model projects Higgins for 41.4 yards over his line of 35.5, and just over this 40+ mark, with good value at plus money odds.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast Week 14 NFL Preview

Leg 3: Patrick Mahomes 20+ Rushing Yards

For our final leg, we're skipping the TD props this week as these two defenses are among the best at keeping teams out of the end zone, so instead we'll look for QB Patrick Mahomes to hit 20+ rushing yards for the ninth time this season.

Mahomes is up to 348 rushing yards this season, 51 behind his previous career high, which he should blow past by the end of the season. Without a robust run game in Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco, Mahomes is the team's second-leading rusher, regularly finding himself on the run outside the pocket and scrambling for yards.

Mobile quarterbacks have hit this mark consistently against Houston this season: Josh Allen (20), Cam Ward (33), Trevor Lawrence (35), Bo Nix (36), Baker Mayfield (33) and even Mac Jones (23).

The Dimers model expects Mahomes to be on the move once again with a projection of 25.9 rushing yards, the third-highest mark in this game. 

Odds correct at publishing and subject to change.

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