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Parlay these Buccaneers vs. Lions player props at +400 odds for Monday Night Football

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Reviewed by Nick Slade

Week 7 draws to a close and we are locking in on the Bucs and Lions for our MNF Same Game Parlay.

NFL Predictions, NFL parlay, Thursday Night Football, NFL bets, Buccaneers, Lions
We hope you like Baker Mayfield because we sure do.

Two games close out NFL Week 7, but we’re sparing East Coast fans who can’t stay up late—our Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions on Monday, October 20, focuses on the early matchup.

This is our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

To finish off Week 7, we're using our model's Monday Night Football predictions to build a +400 SGP over on DraftKings Sportsbookwhere new users can claim a $300 bonus when they sign up.


+400 Bucs vs. Lions NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Buccaneers vs. Lions on Monday Night Football, October 20.

PlayerPropProjection
Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)Over 18.5 Rushing Yards23 Rush Yds
Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)Over 244.5 Passing Yards258 Pass Yds
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)Anytime TD Scorer60.4%

MORE: Bucs vs. Lions MNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Baker Mayfield Over 18.5 Rushing Yards

The Dimers NFL player prop projections are all-in on Baker tonight, and with good reason. With a total set at 53.5 points, the 'books are expecting this one to turn into a track meet as two offenses that always find a way to grind out big plays and big scores come together. Mayfield won't have Bucky Irving as lead back this week, and although Rachaad White is a more than capable replacement, don't be surprised to see the Bucs QB hit the legs often throughout this one; whether it's an designed play or improvised chaos, something the former No. 1 pick - who is averaging 26 rushing yards per game this season - excels at. Dimers has Baker projected for 23 rushing yards.

Leg 2: Baker Mayfield Over 244.5 Passing Yards

Oh, you think the Baker Mayfield lovefest ended there? No way. We're helping ourselves to a double serving of Mayfield by tipping our toes into his passing line, too, with 258 passing yards projected by our model. Baker has averaged 256 passing yards per game in this high-powered Bucs offense that ranks 6th in the league for points. With Tampa Bay probably expected to play from behind with a line set at 6 points in favor of the Lions, the air game will be crucial.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast latest episodes

Leg 3: Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD Scorer

Jahmyr Gibbs hasn't scored a rushing touchdown since Week 4 and that is not at all like Jahmyr Gibbs. The Detroit dynamo ranks as our highest probability touchdown scorer of the night with a 61% probability and we are diving right in on him to break his "slump" (Gibbs did score a receiving touchdown in Week 5). The former Alabama man comes up against a Bucs defense that hasn't been especially efficient stopping the run against opposing RBs this season, ranking 18th in the league for opposition RB touchdowns allowed. This feels like a great spot to attack.

 

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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