Senators vs. Penguins prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for Monday's NHL matchup [2/2/2026]

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Ottawa Senators will meet in the NHL at PPG Paints Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Senators-Penguins matchup.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Senators vs. Penguins matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Senators vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both the Senators and Penguins a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 71% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Senators vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Senators	Penguins
Puck Line	-1.5 (+210)	+1.5 (-245)
Moneyline	-118	+102
Total	o6.5 (-102)	u6.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Senators vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins +1.5	-245
Moneyline	Penguins	+102
Total	Under 6.5	-115

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins to win.

Senators vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Brady Tkachuk is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Tkachuk a 31.6% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 5.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	31.6%
Tim Stutzle	31.2%
Shane Pinto	24.6%
Drake Batherson	23.3%
Dylan Cozens	21.6%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	30.1%
Rickard Rakell	29.2%
Yegor Chinakhov	26.5%
Anthony Mantha	25.1%
Thomas Novak	24.7%

First goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	5.9%
Tim Stutzle	5.3%
Shane Pinto	4.0%
Dylan Cozens	3.9%
Drake Batherson	3.8%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	6.2%
Rickard Rakell	5.2%
Evgeni Malkin	5.0%
Yegor Chinakhov	4.8%
Thomas Novak	4.5%

Senators vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Monday's matchup between the Penguins and Senators at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict a close game between the Senators and Penguins on Monday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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