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Senators vs. Red Wings prediction: Detroit favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [1/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators will lock horns in the NHL at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday, with puck drop at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Red Wings a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Senators.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's Senators vs. Red Wings matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Senators vs. Red Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Senators and Red Wings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Red Wings a 54% chance of defeating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Senators vs. Red Wings odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-210) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +115 | -135 |
| Total | o6.5 (-105) | u6.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Senators vs. Red Wings picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Red Wings -1.5 | +180 |
| Moneyline | Senators | +115 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -112 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Senators vs. Red Wings player props
Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Red Wings?
According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Red Wings.
Our projections give DeBrincat a 36.5% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 32.1% |
| Tim Stutzle | 31.9% |
| Drake Batherson | 25.8% |
| Shane Pinto | 22.5% |
| Dylan Cozens | 20.6% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 36.5% |
| Dylan Larkin | 30.4% |
| Lucas Raymond | 26.7% |
| James van Riemsdyk | 25.4% |
| Patrick Kane | 22.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tim Stutzle | 6.4% |
| Brady Tkachuk | 5.8% |
| Drake Batherson | 4.8% |
| Shane Pinto | 4.4% |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 3.4% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 7.4% |
| Dylan Larkin | 6.0% |
| Lucas Raymond | 4.8% |
| James van Riemsdyk | 4.6% |
| Patrick Kane | 4.3% |
Senators vs. Red Wings game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Red Wings and Senators at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings
- Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Red Wings, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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