Senators vs. Red Wings prediction: Detroit favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [1/18/2026]

The Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators will lock horns in the NHL at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday, with puck drop at 5:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Red Wings a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Senators.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's Senators vs. Red Wings matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Senators vs. Red Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Senators and Red Wings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Red Wings a 54% chance of defeating the Senators.

According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Senators vs. Red Wings odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Senators	Red Wings
Puck Line	+1.5 (-210)	-1.5 (+180)
Moneyline	+115	-135
Total	o6.5 (-105)	u6.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Senators vs. Red Wings picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Red Wings -1.5	+180
Moneyline	Senators	+115
Total	Under 6.5	-112

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

Senators vs. Red Wings player props

Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 36.5% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	32.1%
Tim Stutzle	31.9%
Drake Batherson	25.8%
Shane Pinto	22.5%
Dylan Cozens	20.6%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	36.5%
Dylan Larkin	30.4%
Lucas Raymond	26.7%
James van Riemsdyk	25.4%
Patrick Kane	22.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Tim Stutzle	6.4%
Brady Tkachuk	5.8%
Drake Batherson	4.8%
Shane Pinto	4.4%
Fabian Zetterlund	3.4%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	7.4%
Dylan Larkin	6.0%
Lucas Raymond	4.8%
James van Riemsdyk	4.6%
Patrick Kane	4.3%

Senators vs. Red Wings game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Red Wings and Senators at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Red Wings, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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