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Senators vs. Bruins prediction: Ottawa favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Boston Bruins and Ottawa Senators will meet in the NHL at TD Garden on Sunday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Senators a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Bruins.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Senators vs. Bruins matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Senators vs. Bruins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Senators and Bruins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Senators a 53% chance of defeating the Bruins.
According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Senators vs. Bruins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+180) | +1.5 (-200) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +120 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Senators vs. Bruins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Bruins +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Bruins | +120 |
| Total | Under 6 | -102 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Bruins +1.5 at the spread.
Senators vs. Bruins player props
Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Bruins?
According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Bruins.
Our projections give Pastrnak a 45.8% chance of scoring a goal at TD Garden, while the star is an 8.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 35.5% |
| Tim Stutzle | 35.5% |
| Drake Batherson | 30.7% |
| Dylan Cozens | 22.7% |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 21.8% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 45.8% |
| Morgan Geekie | 43.9% |
| Pavel Zacha | 23.0% |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 18.9% |
| Elias Lindholm | 18.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tim Stutzle | 7.3% |
| Brady Tkachuk | 6.6% |
| Drake Batherson | 5.5% |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 4.6% |
| Dylan Cozens | 4.0% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Geekie | 9.2% |
| David Pastrnak | 8.7% |
| Pavel Zacha | 4.1% |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 3.6% |
| Elias Lindholm | 3.3% |
Senators vs. Bruins game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Bruins and Senators at TD Garden is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Boston Bruins
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Senators, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Bruins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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