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Ohio State vs. Michigan State prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win NCAAW matchup [3/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Ohio State vs Michigan State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Michigan State will square off with Ohio State in women's college basketball action at Jack Breslin Students Events Center on Sunday, starting at 12:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Michigan State as the most likely winner of the Ohio State vs. Michigan State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Ohio State vs. Michigan State prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's women's basketball matchup between Ohio State and Michigan State 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Michigan State a 56% chance of defeating Ohio State.
According to our model, the 157.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ohio State | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | o157.5 (-110) | u157.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ohio State vs. Michigan State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ohio State +3.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Michigan State | -135 |
| Total | Under 157.5 | -110 |
According to our best women's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Ohio State +3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Ohio State vs. Michigan State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's women's basketball matchup between Michigan State and Ohio State at Jack Breslin Students Events Center is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Ohio State vs. Michigan State
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center
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Conclusion
We predict Michigan State, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Ohio State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ohio State vs. Michigan State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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