Islanders vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [2/2/2026]

The Washington Capitals will take on the NY Islanders, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Capital One Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Islanders.

This article offers further insights into Monday's Islanders vs. Capitals matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Isles vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL game between the Islanders and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Capitals a 54% chance of defeating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.

Islanders vs. Capitals odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Islanders	Capitals
Puck Line	+1.5 (-220)	-1.5 (+190)
Moneyline	+110	-130
Total	o6.5 (-108)	u6.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Islanders vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Capitals -1.5	+190
Moneyline	Islanders	+110
Total	Under 6.5	-110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

Islanders vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Aliaksei Protas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Protas a 32.2% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 6.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	30.1%
Simon Holmstrom	26.6%
Anthony Duclair	25.3%
Anders Lee	24.0%
Mathew Barzal	22.5%

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Aliaksei Protas	32.2%
Dylan Strome	30.8%
Alex Ovechkin	30.1%
Tom Wilson	28.0%
Jakob Chychrun	24.5%

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	5.6%
Simon Holmstrom	5.0%
Anthony Duclair	4.8%
Anders Lee	4.6%
Matthew Schaefer	3.7%

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	6.7%
Dylan Strome	6.4%
Aliaksei Protas	6.2%
Tom Wilson	5.4%
Jakob Chychrun	4.8%

Isles vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between the Capitals and Islanders at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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