Islanders vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [10/31/2025]

The Washington Capitals and NY Islanders will meet in the NHL at Capital One Arena on Friday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Islanders vs. Capitals game.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Isles vs. Caps prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NHL game between the Islanders and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Capitals a 63% chance of beating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.

Islanders vs. Capitals odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Islanders	Capitals
Puck Line	+1.5 (-130)	-1.5 (+114)
Moneyline	+190	-225
Total	o6 (-115)	u6 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Islanders vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Islanders +1.5	-130
Moneyline	Islanders	+190
Total	Under 6	-105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Islanders +1.5 at the spread.

Islanders vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Aliaksei Protas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Protas a 35.8% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 7.5% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	34.0%
Kyle Palmieri	27.0%
Anders Lee	22.3%
Simon Holmstrom	20.7%
Anthony Duclair	18.6%

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Aliaksei Protas	35.8%
Alex Ovechkin	34.7%
Tom Wilson	33.5%
Ryan Leonard	25.3%
Jakob Chychrun	24.9%

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	7.3%
Kyle Palmieri	5.6%
Anders Lee	4.7%
Simon Holmstrom	3.9%
Emil Heineman	3.4%

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Aliaksei Protas	7.5%
Alex Ovechkin	6.6%
Tom Wilson	5.8%
Jakob Chychrun	5.2%
Ryan Leonard	4.6%

Isles vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Capitals and Islanders at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Friday, October 31, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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