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Islanders vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [2/1/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Saturday's NY Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.

NY Islanders-Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions and Game Preview.
Amalie Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the NY Islanders and Tampa Bay Lightning this Saturday.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and NY Islanders will meet in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NY Islanders-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lightning are more likely to win, while the Islanders have a lower chance of victory."

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Islanders vs. Lightning predictions page.

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Islanders vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 59% chance of defeating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:15AM, Feb 2
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
Islanders
Win %
41%
59%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Lightning
Islanders NYI
Win %
41%
59%
See Matchup
Lightning TB
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Islanders vs. Lightning Odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Islanders Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (-172) -1.5 (+154)
Moneyline +146 -165
Total o5.5 (-122) u5.5 (+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Islanders vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Islanders vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Islanders vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is most likely to score the first goal in Islanders vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Kucherov an 8.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 39.0% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

NY Islanders

Player First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat 6.4%
Brock Nelson 5.4%
Anders Lee 4.8%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Nikita Kucherov 8.4%
Brayden Point 7.6%
Jake Guentzel 7.3%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

NY Islanders

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat 33.0%
Brock Nelson 27.4%
Anders Lee 25.0%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Nikita Kucherov 39.0%
Brayden Point 38.4%
Jake Guentzel 36.4%

Isles vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's action between the Lightning and Islanders at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Islanders vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY Islanders vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Stay informed with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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