Islanders vs. Red Wings prediction: Detroit favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [11/20/2025]

The Detroit Red Wings will take on the NY Islanders, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Red Wings a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Islanders.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's Islanders vs. Red Wings matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Isles vs. Red Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Thursday's clash between the Islanders and Red Wings.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Red Wings a 54% chance of beating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Islanders vs. Red Wings odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Islanders	Red Wings
Puck Line	+1.5 (-225)	-1.5 (+198)
Moneyline	+105	-122
Total	o6 (-120)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Islanders vs. Red Wings picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Red Wings -1.5	+198
Moneyline	Red Wings	-122
Total	Under 6	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.

Islanders vs. Red Wings player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Dylan Larkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give Larkin a 38.6% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 7.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	33.7%
Kyle Palmieri	24.2%
Mathew Barzal	23.0%
Simon Holmstrom	21.9%
Anders Lee	21.8%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Dylan Larkin	38.6%
Alex DeBrincat	37.8%
Lucas Raymond	31.5%
Patrick Kane	25.5%
Marco Kasper	21.3%

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	7.1%
Kyle Palmieri	4.6%
Mathew Barzal	4.1%
Simon Holmstrom	3.9%
Anders Lee	3.7%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Dylan Larkin	7.8%
Alex DeBrincat	7.4%
Lucas Raymond	6.0%
Patrick Kane	4.8%
Marco Kasper	3.9%

Isles vs. Red Wings game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Red Wings and Islanders at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Red Wings, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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