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Islanders vs. Flames prediction: Close contest projected after new data released for Saturday's NHL matchup [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NY Islanders vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Calgary Flames will face the NY Islanders, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Scotiabank Saddledome on Saturday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Islanders-Flames matchup.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Islanders vs. Flames matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Isles vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Flames 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both the Islanders and Flames a 50% chance of winning the game.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 72% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Islanders vs. Flames odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+230) | +1.5 (-285) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -105 |
| Total | o5.5 (-118) | u5.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Islanders vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -285 |
| Moneyline | Flames | -105 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 5.5 total goals.
Islanders vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Flames?
According to our model, Nazem Kadri is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Flames.
Our projections give Kadri a 28.1% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 5.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Anders Lee | 26.3% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 24.7% |
| Mathew Barzal | 24.3% |
| Anthony Duclair | 22.3% |
| Max Shabanov | 18.7% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 28.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 25.9% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 25.7% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 22.5% |
| Mikael Backlund | 22.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Anders Lee | 5.6% |
| Anthony Duclair | 4.9% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 4.8% |
| Mathew Barzal | 4.8% |
| Emil Heineman | 3.5% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 5.8% |
| Matthew Coronato | 5.3% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 5.2% |
| Connor Zary | 4.2% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 4.2% |
Isles vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Flames and Islanders at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict a close game between the Islanders and Flames on Saturday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Flames insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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