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Islanders vs. Flames prediction: Why Calgary is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NY Islanders vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Calgary Flames will square off with the NY Islanders, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Scotiabank Saddledome on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Flames a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Islanders.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's Islanders vs. Flames matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Isles vs. Flames prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Flames 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Flames a 51% chance of beating the Islanders.
According to our model, the 5.5-goal over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Islanders vs. Flames odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -120 |
| Total | o5.5 (-130) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Islanders vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Islanders | +105 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +110 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 5.5 total goals.
Islanders vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Flames?
According to our model, Nazem Kadri is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Flames.
Our projections give Kadri a 28.7% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 6.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Anders Lee | 28.6% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 25.5% |
| Mathew Barzal | 25.1% |
| Anthony Duclair | 21.9% |
| Max Shabanov | 18.3% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 28.7% |
| Matthew Coronato | 26.1% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 25.5% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 22.4% |
| Joel Farabee | 20.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Anders Lee | 5.9% |
| Mathew Barzal | 5.6% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 4.7% |
| Anthony Duclair | 4.3% |
| Max Shabanov | 3.8% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 6.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 5.6% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 5.2% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 4.4% |
| Mikael Backlund | 4.2% |
Isles vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Flames and Islanders at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict the Flames, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Flames insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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