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Notre Dame vs. California prediction: Why Notre Dame is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Notre Dame vs California predictions for college basketball Thursday.
California will take on the favored Notre Dame in women's college basketball action at Haas Pavilion on Thursday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.
The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Notre Dame as the most likely winner of the Notre Dame vs. California game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Notre Dame vs. California prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's women's basketball game between Notre Dame and California 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Notre Dame an 84% chance of beating California.
According to our model, the 138.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Notre Dame vs. California odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Notre Dame | California |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -275 | +225 |
| Total | o138.5 (-110) | u138.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Notre Dame vs. California picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Notre Dame -6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Notre Dame | -275 |
| Total | Under 138.5 | -110 |
According to our best women's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Notre Dame -6.5 at the spread.
Notre Dame vs. California game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's women's basketball matchup between California and Notre Dame at Haas Pavilion is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Notre Dame vs. California
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Haas Pavilion
Conclusion
We predict Notre Dame, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat California on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Notre Dame vs. California insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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