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Geelong Cats vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos prediction: Cats favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 8 matchup [5/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Geelong Cats and North Melbourne Kangaroos will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:35 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Cats as the most likely winner of the Kangaroos vs. Cats game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cats vs. Kangaroos prediction: Who will win Round 8 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Kangaroos and Cats, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cats an 81% chance of beating the Kangaroos.
According to our model, the Kangaroos (+28.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 191.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
North Melbourne vs. Geelong odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kangaroos | Cats |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +330 | -455 |
| Line (Spread) | +28.5 (-115) | -28.5 (-115) |
| Total | o191.5 (-115) | u191.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kangaroos vs. Cats picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kangaroos +28.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Cats | -455 |
| Total | Under 191.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 191.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cats vs. Kangaroos game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Cats and Kangaroos at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:35 AM ET.
- Who: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Geelong Cats
- Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
- Time: 2:35 AM ET/11:35PM PT
- Venue: GMHBA Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Cats, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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