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North Carolina State vs. Virginia prediction: Virginia favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get North Carolina State vs Virginia predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as North Carolina State looks to defy the odds against Virginia in men's college basketball action at John Paul Jones Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Virginia as the most likely winner of the North Carolina State vs. Virginia game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
North Carolina State vs. Virginia prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between North Carolina State and Virginia 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Virginia a 76% chance of beating North Carolina State. Our predicted final score has Virginia winning 78-71.
According to our model, Virginia (-6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 148.5 points has a 57% chance of staying under.
North Carolina State vs. Virginia odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | North Carolina State | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +320 | -275 |
| Total | o148.5 (-118) | u148.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
North Carolina State vs. Virginia picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Virginia -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Virginia | -275 |
| Total | Under 148.5 | -112 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Virginia -6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
North Carolina State vs. Virginia game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball game between Virginia and North Carolina State at John Paul Jones Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: North Carolina State vs. Virginia
- Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: John Paul Jones Arena
Conclusion
We predict Virginia, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat North Carolina State on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate North Carolina State vs. Virginia insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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