North Carolina State vs. Virginia prediction: Virginia favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/12/2026]

Virginia and North Carolina State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Spectrum Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 12:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Virginia as the most likely winner of the North Carolina State vs. Virginia game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

North Carolina State vs. Virginia prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between North Carolina State and Virginia 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Virginia a 77% chance of beating North Carolina State. Our predicted final score has Virginia winning 80-72.

According to our model, Virginia (-6.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

North Carolina State vs. Virginia odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	North Carolina State	Virginia
Spread	+6.5 (-110)	-6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+230	-275
Total	o153.5 (-110)	u153.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

North Carolina State vs. Virginia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Virginia -6.5	-105
Moneyline	Virginia	-275
Total	Under 153.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Virginia -6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

North Carolina State vs. Virginia game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball action between Virginia and North Carolina State at Spectrum Center is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: North Carolina State vs. Virginia
• Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Spectrum Center

College basketball betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' North Carolina State vs. Virginia predictions by exploring the below offers from Bet365 and BetMGM.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets win or lose with code "DIMERS".

BetMGM

Sign up to BetMGM with code "DIMERS" now to unlock their 'Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win' offer.

Conclusion

We predict Virginia, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat North Carolina State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate North Carolina State vs. Virginia insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.