Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Reilly Opelka prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will take on Reilly Opelka in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts an equal chance for both both teams to win the Budkov Kjaer-Opelka matchup.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Budkov Kjaer vs. Opelka prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Budkov Kjaer-Opelka men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently can't split the two players, giving both Budkov Kjaer and Opelka a 50% chance of winning the match.

Additionally, both Budkov Kjaer and Opelka have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 25.5 games has a 62% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Reilly Opelka odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Budkov Kjaer vs. Opelka picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Reilly Opelka to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Budkov Kjaer vs. Opelka updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Reilly Opelka is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Reilly Opelka
• Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict a close match between Budkov Kjaer and Opelka on Thursday, with each player having a 50% chance of winning.

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