NHL Playoffs player props today: Monday's best props include Brock Nelson [5/11/2026]

Dimers' NHL props are live for May 11, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Brock Nelson, Valeri Nichushkin and Brent Burns.

Our NHL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including today's Avalanche vs. Wild clash, to surface the best NHL player prop bets across the market.

List of NHL prop bets for Monday's playoffs, 5/11

Below are the top ten NHL player props for May 11, ranked by probability.

Brock Nelson over 1.5 shots on goal (-165)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Colorado's Brock Nelson going over 1.5 shots on goal. A probability of 66.5% gives this play an edge of 4.2% at -165 odds.

Valeri Nichushkin over 1.5 shots on goal (-135)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Valeri Nichushkin’s shots on goal prop shows a 62.2% probability and an 4.8% edge at -135 odds, according to our model.

Brent Burns over 1.5 shots on goal (-115)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Brent Burns over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 56.9% probability and a 3.4% edge at -115.

Nazem Kadri over 2.5 shots on goal (+114)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Nazem Kadri over 2.5 shots on goal, with a 52.2% probability and an edge of 5.5% at +114 odds.

Devon Toews over 1.5 shots on goal (+120)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Devon Toews over 1.5 shots on goal for Colorado, showing an edge of 6.3% at +120 odds.

Matt Boldy under 3.5 shots on goal (+110)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Matt Boldy’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 3.4% at +110 odds, supported by a 51.1% probability according to our model.

Gabriel Landeskog over 2.5 shots on goal (+135)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 45.8%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Gabriel Landeskog over 2.5 shots on goal for Colorado, with a 45.8% probability and a 3.3% edge at +135 odds.

Quinn Hughes over 2.5 shots on goal (+145)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 44.3%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Quinn Hughes over 2.5 shots on goal, supported by a 44.3% probability at +145 odds and an edge of 3.5%.

Valeri Nichushkin to score a point (+154)

• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 40.6%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

A 1.3% edge on the point line makes Valeri Nichushkin a value play in Avalanche vs. Wild, supported by a 40.6% probability at +154 odds.

Gabriel Landeskog anytime goal scorer (+300)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 28.6%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Gabriel Landeskog anytime goal scorer here, with a 28.6% probability and 3.6% edge at +300 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Monday, May 11, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:59PM ET:

Conclusion

For May 11, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Brock Nelson, Valeri Nichushkin and Brent Burns. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.