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Avalanche vs. Wild Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Wild NHL game on May 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
2
May 12, 12 AM Grand Casino Arena
May 12, 12 AM Grand Casino Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Avalanche | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Wild | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Avalanche | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Wild | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
P3 19:52 Goal scored by Brock Nelson (Empty Net)
P3 19:37 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 19:17 Shot missed by Brock Faber
P3 17:55 Brock Faber shot blocked by Logan O'Connor
P3 16:47 Shot missed by Jack Drury
P3 16:04 Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 15:58 Brock Faber shot blocked by Devon Toews
P3 14:10 Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 13:51 Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 12:33 Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Marcus Johansson
P3 12:23 Shot missed by Logan O'Connor
P3 12:02 Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 11:19 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 10:52 Martin Necas shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
P3 10:00 Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 09:47 Shot missed by Brent Burns
P3 09:15 Goal scored by Nico Sturm assisted by Quinn Hughes and Marcus Foligno
P3 08:01 Shot missed by Vladimir Tarasenko
P3 06:53 Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Daemon Hunt
P3 06:41 Shot missed by Brock Nelson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
Jack Drury won faceoff against Nico Sturm in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brock Nelson (Empty Net)
5-2
Avalanche won faceoff against Matt Boldy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Faber
Avalanche won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Matt Boldy in defensive zone
SHOT
Brock Faber shot blocked by Logan O'Connor
Joel Kiviranta credited with hit on Marcus Foligno in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Drury
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
SHOT
Brock Faber shot blocked by Devon Toews
Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Marcus Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Logan O'Connor
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Jack Drury won faceoff against Nico Sturm in neutral zone
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Brent Burns
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nico Sturm assisted by Quinn Hughes and Marcus Foligno
2-2
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Vladimir Tarasenko
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Daemon Hunt
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Matt Boldy in neutral zone
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Michael McCarron
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Drury
Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nico Sturm saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael McCarron saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Michael McCarron shot blocked by Jack Ahcan
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladimir Tarasenko saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Devon Toews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jared Spurgeon
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Boldy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirill Kaprizov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
SHOT
Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by Devon Toews
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Michael McCarron in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Foligno
SHOT
Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Brett Kulak
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Matt Boldy won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Parker Kelly 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Kirill Kaprizov)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Faber saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Boldy
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Valeri Nichushkin won faceoff against Matt Boldy in defensive zone
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jared Spurgeon
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Jack Ahcan
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Michael McCarron in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nazem Kadri assisted by Martin Necas
1-1
Shorthanded - Michael McCarron won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
Penalty to Yakov Trenin 2 minutes for Closing Hand on the Puck
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Vladimir Tarasenko
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Brock Faber
Shorthanded - Michael McCarron won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
Penalty to Zach Bogosian 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Parker Kelly)
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by Brent Burns
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Michael McCarron in neutral zone
Takeaway by Brett Kulak in neutral zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against Nick Foligno in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Yakov Trenin credited with hit on Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Danila Yurov won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Daemon Hunt
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jack Ahcan credited with hit on Nico Sturm in defensive zone
Nico Sturm won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Wild saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Devon Toews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Power play - Matt Boldy won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Danila Yurov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Logan O'Connor
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Daemon Hunt
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
Jack Drury credited with hit on Quinn Hughes in offensive zone
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Faber
Penalty to Ross Colton 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Danila Yurov)
Stoppage - Offside
Stoppage - Offside
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 21 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 32 | Hits | 29 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 22 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 14 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 21 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 32 | Hits | 29 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 22 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 14 |
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Avalanche vs. Wild: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Avalanche vs. Wild
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Avalanche -135, Wild +138
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Avalanche: 56%
- Wild: 44%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 56%, while the Wild have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at Grand Casino Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Avalanche vs. Wild predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
