NFL Week 17 Touchdown Picks: Expert Analysis and TD Parlay on Sunday

Betting on touchdown scorers in Week 17 NFL games is one of the most exciting and potentially lucrative propositions in sports betting, especially when taking the top TD scorers to find the end zone not once, but twice.

When at least three multi-touchdown bets are combined into a touchdown parlay or Round Robin, these Week 17 touchdown predictions can help turn a modest wager into a significant payout.

As Week 17 of the NFL season continues following the Christmas Day and NFL Saturday games, our proprietary betting model has crunched the numbers, analyzed matchups, red-zone efficiency, defensive vulnerabilities, and historical performance to identify every player's probability of scoring 2+ touchdowns on Sunday.

This week's analysis of our NFL player projections hub primarily focuses on a mix of positions and features five players who have found scoring success in recent weeks and get favorable matchups on Sunday.

As we do every week, we've compiled our famous touchdown Round Robin, made up of five multiple TD NFL prop bets backed by the Dimers model probabilities, giving you a clear, data-driven edge for the Week 17 Sunday NFL slate.

NFL Touchdown Scorers: Week 17 (Sunday, December 28, 2025)

Three positions make up this multi-touchdown round robin parlay - three RBs, one WR and one TE. As opposed to first touchdown bets that come with even shorter odds on these stars, we're getting closer to fair odds and even a little bit of value on some of these players, with odds ranging from +390 to +1100.

We have analyzed these five players, their respective probability of scoring multiple touchdowns, the current odds, and the reasons why our model has tagged them as high probability touchdown bets.

1. Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Matchup details:

• Teams: Giants vs. Raiders
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium

Raiders rookie RB Ashton Jeanty enters this game with an 18.6% probability to score twice, the fourth-highest of the whole slate.

He's had an up-and-down season, but just turned in one of his two best games on the year, tallying 188 total yards with two touchdowns, both on scoring plays of over 50 yards.

Now, he gets to face the New York Giants, whose rushing defense ranks 31st in the NFL, allowing 150.9 rushing yards per game and 19 TDs on the year, third-most in the league.

Since Week 9, they've specifically allowed 1.3 TD per game to RBs, both rushing and receiving, putting Jeanty in line for a big day.

Ashton Jeanty 2+ TD odds: +390

2. De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Matchup details:

• Teams: Buccaneers vs. Dolphins
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

Dolphins RB De'Von Achane remains the focal point of this offensive attack, and gets a solid matchup and strong 16.3% probability of scoring two touchdowns on Sunday vs. the Buccaneers.

While Tampa Bay's ground defense has improved in the back half of the season, they remain very vulnerable through the air and have given up an average of 1 TD per game to RB since Week 9.

They have the worst defense against defending running backs in the passing game, where Achane features heavily and could see even more looks after a full week of practice with rookie QB Quinn Ewers.

Achane gets a 51.3% probability to score his 13th TD of the year and gets a Top 10 probability to score twice on Sunday.

De'Von Achane 2+ TD odds: +500

3. Saquon Barkley (Eagles)

Matchup details:

• Teams: Eagles vs. Bills
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: Highmark Stadium

It's been a slow season by his standards, but Eagles RB Saquon Barkley has put together three of his best games of the season in back-to-back weeks, scoring a TD in three straight games and racking up over 300 yards.

He draws a 13.6% Dimers probability to score a pair vs. the league's worst rushing defense in terms of TDs. The Bills have given up 24 touchdowns on the ground - the Cowboys are the only other team to allow more than 20 this season.

Barkley's workload hasn't slowed - 20+ touches in three straight - and it's too early for the Eagles to worry about resting players as they need to compete with a team that could see in the Super Bowl.

Saquon Barkley 2+ TD odds: +600

4. Trey McBride (Cardinals)

Matchup details:

• Teams: Cardinals vs. Bengals
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Paycor Stadium

Cardinals TE Trey McBride leads tight ends in receiving yards as the only one at his position with over 1,000 on the season, and his 10 touchdowns are tied for the most, entering this game with an 11.0% probability to score 2+, the highest for a tight end.

McBride has two multi-touchdown games this season and is coming off a rare down game, drawing one of the best matchups in the NFL.

No team has allowed more touchdowns to tight ends than the Cincinnati Bengals, who have one of the worst overall passing defenses in the NFL and have given up 100+ yards to TEs per game since Week 9.

Everything lines up for a big day from Trey McBride on Sunday.

Trey McBride 2+ TD odds: +700

5. Chris Olave (Saints)

Matchup details:

• Teams: Saints vs. Titans
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Nissan Stadium

For the longest odds, we're looking at Saints WR Chris Olave to find the end zone twice for the second-straight week and third time this season, getting an 8.3% Dimers probability to do so in Week 17.

Olave is one of the hottest receivers in the NFL's second half of the season, scoring five touchdowns in his past six games alongside the emergence of rookie QB Tyler Shough.

He's coming off a season-high 16 targets, his eighth game in double digits this year and gets a Titans defense allowing 1.9 passing TDs per game since Week 9.

Chris Olave 2+ TD odds: +1100

NFL Touchdown Scorers: Week 17 Round Robin Parlay

For bettors looking to leverage this data, a 2+ touchdown Round Robin offers a balanced approach to maximizing potential returns, with less risk than a traditional NFL parlay. By combining these five players into a touchdown Round Robin bet, you are pairing multiple players together in different combinations, allowing for a payout even if only two of the five players score 2 or more TD in their respective games.

Alternatively, you can play a five-leg Anytime TD parlay at +2852 odds with each player to record just one touchdown at any point in the game.

Given the strong probabilities and appealing odds, an NFL 2+ touchdown Round Robin of 2, 3, 4, and 5-leg parlay combinations using this curated list is a high-entertainment strategy for Week 17. The total potential payout for a small stake on this touchdown scorer group is significant, making it a cornerstone of our weekly betting strategy.