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NFL Touchdown Picks, Best Bets for "King of the End Zone" on Thanksgiving Day slate
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
Check out Dimers' top TD scorer predictions for DraftKings' King of the End Zone promo on the Thanksgiving Day NFL slate.
If you're betting on NFL touchdowns, then the Thanksgiving Day slate just got even better.
DraftKings' exciting King of the End Zone promo returns for this week's three-game NFL schedule on Thanksgiving Day, rewarding those who can make the best touchdown picks in Lions-Packers, Cowboys-Chiefs and Ravens-Bengals on Thursday, November 27.
One of the best promos around, this offer awards users their share of $2 Million in bonus bets if they can pick a player who scores the longest TD of the day. Much like their King of the Court promo for NBA betting, this one adds the thrill of a potentially massive payout.
Plus, all new users can claim DraftKings' $300 bonus as well - learn more here.
How to Play King of the End Zone
- Opt-In: Head to the DraftKings Sportsbook app or website to opt into the King of the End Zone promo.
- Place a Bet: Use your token to place a minimum $5 pregame NFL TD scorer bet for any of the games on Thursday, November 27.
- Qualify for the Prize Pool: If your chosen player scores the longest TD today, you’ll win an equal share of $2,000,000 in bonus bets.
Who will Win King of the End Zone on Thanksgiving?
Finding the best King of the End Zone bet is no easy task - there are over a dozen potential touchdown scorers in a single game and they may not always come on a big play, so it's not always about picking the most likely player to score. If that's what you're looking for, check out Dimers' NFL Projections Hub for our First & Anytime Touchdown predictions for every player.
Instead, to help you narrow down your pick, we're comparing our projections with player history and our touchdown probabilities.
Below you will find our Top 10 projected player based on yardage for Thanksgiving Day, along with their TD probability and number of "big plays" this season.
They may not always be the most likely TD scorers, but many of these guys are known for their explosive play ability, and hopefully, that helps you find your best bet.
| PLAYER | POSITION | PROJECTED YARDS (RUSH + REC) | TD PROBABILITY | 20+ YARD PLAYS | 30+ YARD PLAYS | 40+ YARD PLAYS | 50+ YARD PLAYS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 113.5 | 63.2% | 13 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | 97.5 | 63.0% | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 96.4 | 48.1% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | 86.7 | 39.3% | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Javonte Williams | RB | 85.6 | 54.8% | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Chase Brown | RB | 83.1 | 42.3% | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 82.3 | 46.5% | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | 80.7 | 55.4% | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 79.7 | 48.7% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| George Pickens | WR | 78.0 | 38.5% | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Best Value Touchdown Scorer on NFL Thanksgiving
As a bonus for our Dimers users, we're also sharing our best Anytime TD prop of the day straight from Dimers' Best NFL Props - the player with the highest probability to score who also comes with an edge (value against the books' odds).
As of now, the best value goes to Packers RB Josh Jacobs, who can be found for nearly even money odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Based on the table above, it's unlikely that Jacobs will win King of the End Zone with just a single play over 30 yards this season, but his standalone touchdown prop presents a valuable betting opportunity, with our fair odds at -120.
Responsible Gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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