NFL player props today: Week 9's best props include Deebo Samuel [11/2/2025]

Dimers' NFL props are live for Sunday, November 2, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Deebo Samuel, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III.

Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Chiefs vs. Bills and Bears vs. Bengals, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.

List of NFL prop picks for Week 9

Sourced from 180+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for November 2, ranked by edge.

Deebo Samuel under 6.5 rushing yards (-120)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Projection: 6.6
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Washington's Deebo Samuel under 6.5 rushing yards. A probability of 64.5% gives this play an edge of 10.0% at -120 odds.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba under 7.5 receptions (-120)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 63.0%
• Projection: 6.8
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s receptions prop shows an 8.4% edge at -120 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.8 receptions on the under 7.5 line.

Kenneth Walker III over 1.5 receptions (+190)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 41.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Our model shows value on Kenneth Walker III over 1.5 receptions, supported by a 7.3% edge at +190 odds.

Zach Charbonnet under 11.5 rushing attempts (-105)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Our model finds value on Zach Charbonnet under 11.5 rushing attempts, with a 56.4% probability and an edge of 5.2% at -105 odds.

Kenneth Walker III under 12.5 rushing attempts (+114)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 51.0%
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Our model shows value on Kenneth Walker III under 12.5 rushing attempts for Seattle, showing an edge of 4.3% edge at +114 odds.

Jaylin Lane over 1.5 receptions (-104)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Projection: 1.9
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Jaylin Lane’s receptions prop shows an edge of 4.2% edge at -104 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.9 today.

Deebo Samuel under 5.5 receptions (-105)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Projection: 5.4
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Our model projects Deebo Samuel for 5.4 receptions for Washington, creating an edge of 3.5% on under 5.5 at -105 odds.

Sam Darnold over 28.5 passing attempts (-123)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Our model shows value on Sam Darnold over 28.5 passing attempts, supported by a 58.6% probability at -123 odds and an edge of 3.4%.

Zach Ertz under 28.5 receptions (+130)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 3.8
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

A 3.1% edge on the under 28.5 receptions line makes Zach Ertz a value play in Seahawks vs. Commanders, with our model projecting him for 3.8 receptions at +130 odds.

Kenneth Walker III under 4.5 receiving yards (-118)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Projection: 10.0
• Game: Seahawks vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

Our model projects Kenneth Walker III for 10.0 receiving yards here, creating a 2.8% edge on the under 4.5 line at -130 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 9, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 7:59PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Deebo Samuel under 6.5 rushing yards	-120 @ BetMGM	10.0%	64.5%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Jaxon Smith-Njigba under 7.5 receptions	-120 @ BetMGM	8.4%	63.0%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Kenneth Walker III over 1.5 receptions	+190 @ FanDuel	5.2%	56.4%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Zach Charbonnet under 11.5 rushing attempts	-105 @ BetMGM	5.2%	56.4%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Kenneth Walker III under 12.5 rushing attempts	+114 @ FanDuel	4.3%	51.0%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Jaylin Lane over 1.5 receptions	-104 @ DraftKings	4.2%	55.2%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Deebo Samuel under 5.5 receptions	-105 @ BetMGM	3.5%	54.7%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Sam Darnold over 28.5 passing attempts	-123 @ DraftKings	3.4%	58.6%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Zach Ertz under 28.5 receptions	+130 @ FanDuel	3.1%	46.6%
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Kenneth Walker III under 4.5 receiving yards	-118 @ BetMGM	2.8%	56.9%

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Conclusion

For November 2, 2025, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Deebo Samuel, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. Dimers promotes responsible gambling.