NFL player props today: Week 18's best props include Christian McCaffrey [1/3/2026]

Updated: Jan 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET | First published: Jan 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities

Get NFL player props today with projections for Saturday's Week 18 games.

NFL Prop Bets. — NFL prop bets for Week 18 are based on the latest odds and projections for Sunday's football games.

Dimers' NFL props are live for January 04, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle and Bryce Young.

Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Seahawks vs. 49ers and Panthers vs. Buccaneers, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.

List of NFL prop picks for Week 18

Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for January 3, ranked by edge.

Christian McCaffrey under 5.5 receptions (+115)

Edge: 13.0%
Probability: 59.5%
Projection: 5.1
Game: Seahawks vs. 49ers (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on San Francisco's Christian McCaffrey under 5.5 receptions. A probability of 59.5% gives this play an edge of 13.0% at +115 odds.

George Kittle under 5.5 receptions (+100)

Edge: 9.6%
Probability: 59.6%
Projection: 5.1
Game: Seahawks vs. 49ers (8:00PM ET)

George Kittle’s receptions prop shows a 9.6% edge at +100 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.1 receptions on the under 5.5 line.

Christian McCaffrey under 48.5 receiving yards (-111)

Edge: 7.3%
Probability: 59.9%
Projection: 46.1
Game: Seahawks vs. 49ers (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Christian McCaffrey under 48.5 receiving yards, with simulations showing a 59.9% probability and a 7.3% edge at -111.

Bryce Young under 20.5 rushing yards (-115)

Edge: 7.0%
Probability: 60.5%
Projection: 20.0
Game: Panthers vs. Buccaneers (4:30PM ET)

Our model projects Bryce Young to record 20.0 rushing yards today, creating an edge of 7.0% on the under 20.5 line at -115 odds.

Bucky Irving under 66.5 rushing yards (-110)

Edge: 5.6%
Probability: 58.0%
Projection: 64.9
Game: Panthers vs. Buccaneers (4:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Bucky Irving under 66.5 rushing yards for Tampa Bay, showing an edge of 5.6% at -110 odds.

Sam Darnold under 246.5 passing yards (-112)

Edge: 5.2%
Probability: 58.1%
Projection: 238.0
Game: Seahawks vs. 49ers (8:00PM ET)

Sam Darnold’s passing yards prop shows an edge of 5.2% at -112 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 238.0 today.

Mike Evans under 4.5 receptions (-112)

Edge: 5.1%
Probability: 58.0%
Projection: 4.3
Game: Panthers vs. Buccaneers (4:30PM ET)

Our model projects Mike Evans for 4.3 receptions for Tampa Bay, creating an edge of 5.1% on under 4.5 at -112 odds.

George Kittle under 64.5 receiving yards (-114)

Edge: 4.8%
Probability: 58.1%
Projection: 62.0
Game: Seahawks vs. 49ers (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects George Kittle for 62.0 receiving yards, creating value on the under 64.5 line at -114 odds and a 4.8% edge.

Christian McCaffrey 2+ 0.5 score 2+ touchdowns (+440)

Edge: 4.6%
Probability: 23.2%
Game: Seahawks vs. 49ers (8:00PM ET)

A 4.6% edge on the 2+ 64.5 score 2+ touchdowns line makes Christian McCaffrey a value play in Seahawks vs. 49ers, supported by a 23.2% probability at +440 odds.

Bryce Young under 29.5 passing attempts (-120)

Edge: 4.6%
Probability: 59.2%
Game: Panthers vs. Buccaneers (4:30PM ET)

Simulations show value on Bryce Young under 29.5 passing attempts here, with a 59.2% probability and 4.6% edge at -120 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 18, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:03AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Seahawks vs. 49ers	Christian McCaffrey under 5.5 receptions	+115 @ BetMGM	13.0%	59.5%
Seahawks vs. 49ers	George Kittle under 5.5 receptions	+100 @ BetMGM	9.6%	59.6%
Seahawks vs. 49ers	Christian McCaffrey under 48.5 receiving yards	-111 @ DraftKings	7.0%	60.5%
Panthers vs. Buccaneers	Bryce Young under 20.5 rushing yards	-115 @ BetMGM	7.0%	60.5%
Panthers vs. Buccaneers	Bucky Irving under 66.5 rushing yards	-110 @ BetMGM	5.6%	58.0%
Seahawks vs. 49ers	Sam Darnold under 246.5 passing yards	-112 @ FanDuel	5.2%	58.1%
Panthers vs. Buccaneers	Mike Evans under 4.5 receptions	-112 @ FanDuel	5.1%	58.0%
Seahawks vs. 49ers	George Kittle under 64.5 receiving yards	-114 @ DraftKings	4.8%	58.1%
Seahawks vs. 49ers	Christian McCaffrey 2+ 64.5 score 2+ touchdowns	+440 @ FanDuel	4.6%	23.2%
Panthers vs. Buccaneers	Bryce Young under 29.5 passing attempts	-120 @ BetMGM	4.6%	59.2%

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Conclusion

For January 3, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle and Bryce Young. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.

Written by

Jason Bevilacqua

Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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