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NFL player props today: Week 17's best props include Nick Chubb [12/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NFL player props today with projections for Saturday's Week 17 games.
Dimers' NFL props are live for December 27, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Nick Chubb, Keaton Mitchell and Dalton Schultz.
Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Ravens vs. Packers and Texans vs. Chargers, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.
List of NFL prop bets for Week 17 (Saturday)
Sourced from 25+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for December 27, ranked by edge.
Nick Chubb under 5.5 rushing attempts (+105)
- Edge: 33.7%
- Probability: 82.5%
- Game: Texans vs. Chargers (4:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Houston's Nick Chubb under 5.5 rushing attempts. A probability of 82.5% gives this play an edge of 33.7% at +105 odds.
Keaton Mitchell under 5.5 rushing attempts (-110)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 62.2%
- Game: Ravens vs. Packers (8:00PM ET)
Keaton Mitchell’s rushing attempts prop shows a 62.2% probability and an 9.8% edge at -110 odds, according to our model.
Keaton Mitchell over 0.5 receptions (-115)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 63.0%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Ravens vs. Packers (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Keaton Mitchell over 0.5 receptions, with simulations showing a 63.0% probability and a 9.5% edge at -115.
Dalton Schultz under 4.5 receptions (+101)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Projection: 4.2
- Game: Texans vs. Chargers (4:30PM ET)
Our model projects Dalton Schultz to record 4.2 receptions today, creating an edge of 9.1% on the under 4.5 line at +101 odds.
Nick Chubb under 17.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Projection: 17.7
- Game: Texans vs. Chargers (4:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Nick Chubb under 17.5 rushing yards for Houston, showing an edge of 8.0% at -110 odds.
Malik Willis over 23.5 passing attempts (-114)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 60.5%
- Game: Ravens vs. Packers (8:00PM ET)
Malik Willis’s passing attempts prop shows an edge of 7.2% at -114 odds, supported by a 60.5% probability according to our model.
Mark Andrews under 3.5 receptions (-200)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 73.5%
- Projection: 2.6
- Game: Ravens vs. Packers (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Mark Andrews for 2.6 receptions for Baltimore, creating an edge of 6.9% on under 3.5 at -200 odds.
Woody Marks under 13.5 rushing attempts (-104)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Game: Texans vs. Chargers (4:30PM ET)
The data shows value on Woody Marks under 13.5 rushing attempts, supported by a 56.8% probability at -104 odds and an edge of 5.8%.
Tyler Huntley under 17.5 passing completions (-114)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Projection: 16.7
- Game: Ravens vs. Packers (8:00PM ET)
A 5.6% edge on the under 13.5 passing completions line makes Tyler Huntley a value play in Ravens vs. Packers, with our model projecting him for 16.7 passing completions at -114 odds.
Zay Flowers under 4.5 receptions (+101)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Projection: 4.4
- Game: Ravens vs. Packers (8:00PM ET)
Simulations project Zay Flowers for 4.4 receptions here, creating a 5.5% edge on the under 4.5 line at +101 odds.
NFL player prop summary: Week 17, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 2:31AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers | Nick Chubb under 5.5 rushing attempts | +105 @ BetMGM | 33.7% | 82.5% |
| Ravens vs. Packers | Keaton Mitchell under 5.5 rushing attempts | -110 @ BetMGM | 9.8% | 62.2% |
| Ravens vs. Packers | Keaton Mitchell over 0.5 receptions | -115 @ BetMGM | 9.1% | 58.8% |
| Texans vs. Chargers | Dalton Schultz under 4.5 receptions | +101 @ DraftKings | 9.1% | 58.8% |
| Texans vs. Chargers | Nick Chubb under 17.5 rushing yards | -110 @ BetMGM | 8.0% | 60.4% |
| Ravens vs. Packers | Malik Willis over 23.5 passing attempts | -114 @ DraftKings | 7.2% | 60.5% |
| Ravens vs. Packers | Mark Andrews under 3.5 receptions | -200 @ FanDuel | 6.9% | 73.5% |
| Texans vs. Chargers | Woody Marks under 13.5 rushing attempts | -104 @ DraftKings | 5.8% | 56.8% |
| Ravens vs. Packers | Tyler Huntley under 13.5 passing completions | -114 @ FanDuel | 5.6% | 58.9% |
| Ravens vs. Packers | Zay Flowers under 4.5 receptions | +101 @ DraftKings | 5.5% | 55.3% |
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Conclusion
For December 27, 2025, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Nick Chubb, Keaton Mitchell and Dalton Schultz. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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