NFL player props today: Week 16's best props include Jacory Croskey-Merritt [12/20/2025]

Dimers' NFL props are live for December 20, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Emanuel Wilson.

Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Packers vs. Bears and Eagles vs. Commanders, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.

List of NFL prop bets for Week 16 (Saturday)

Sourced from 25+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for December 20, ranked by edge.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt over 0.5 receptions (+210)

• Edge: 12.8%
• Probability: 45.1%
• Projection: 0.6
• Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Washington's Jacory Croskey-Merritt over 0.5 receptions. A probability of 45.1% gives this play an edge of 12.8% at +210 odds.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. over 0.5 receiving yards (+130)

• Edge: 11.7%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Projection: 4.9
• Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)

Chris Rodriguez Jr.’s receiving yards prop shows an 11.7% edge at +130 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.9 receiving yards on the over 0.5 line.

Emanuel Wilson anytime touchdown scorer (+270)

• Edge: 9.8%
• Probability: 36.8%
• Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)

The data highlights value on Emanuel Wilson anytime touchdown scorer, with simulations showing a 36.8% probability and a 9.8% edge at +270.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. under 11.5 rushing attempts (-136)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Chris Rodriguez Jr. under 11.5 rushing attempts, with a 66.4% probability and an edge of 8.8% at -136 odds.

Kyle Monangai under 11.5 rushing attempts (+102)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Kyle Monangai under 11.5 rushing attempts for Chicago, showing an edge of 8.3% at +102 odds.

Christian Watson under 3.5 receptions (-130)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Projection: 3.1
• Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)

Christian Watson’s receptions prop shows an edge of 6.6% at -130 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 3.1 today.

Jahan Dotson over 0.5 receptions (-190)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 71.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jahan Dotson for 1.3 receptions for Philadelphia, creating an edge of 6.1% on over 0.5 at -190 odds.

Colston Loveland under 4.5 receptions (-165)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 68.3%
• Projection: 3.7
• Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Colston Loveland for 3.7 receptions, creating value on the under 4.5 line at -165 odds and a 6.0% edge.

Terry McLaurin under 4.5 receptions (-148)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 65.4%
• Projection: 3.9
• Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)

A 5.7% edge on the under 4.5 receptions line makes Terry McLaurin a value play in Eagles vs. Commanders, with our model projecting him for 3.9 receptions at -148 odds.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. over 0.5 receptions (+145)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 0.6
• Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)

Simulations project Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 0.6 receptions here, creating a 5.3% edge on the over 0.5 line at +145 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 16, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 4:57PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Eagles vs. Commanders	Jacory Croskey-Merritt over 0.5 receptions	+210 @ BetMGM	12.8%	45.1%
Eagles vs. Commanders	Chris Rodriguez Jr. over 0.5 receiving yards	+130 @ BetMGM	11.7%	55.2%
Packers vs. Bears	Emanuel Wilson anytime touchdown scorer	+270 @ DraftKings	8.8%	66.4%
Eagles vs. Commanders	Chris Rodriguez Jr. under 11.5 rushing attempts	-136 @ DraftKings	8.8%	66.4%
Packers vs. Bears	Kyle Monangai under 11.5 rushing attempts	+102 @ DraftKings	8.3%	57.8%
Packers vs. Bears	Christian Watson under 3.5 receptions	-130 @ BetMGM	6.6%	63.1%
Eagles vs. Commanders	Jahan Dotson over 0.5 receptions	-190 @ BetMGM	6.1%	71.6%
Packers vs. Bears	Colston Loveland under 4.5 receptions	-165 @ BetMGM	6.0%	68.3%
Eagles vs. Commanders	Terry McLaurin under 4.5 receptions	-148 @ FanDuel	5.7%	65.4%
Eagles vs. Commanders	Chris Rodriguez Jr. over 0.5 receptions	+145 @ BetMGM	5.3%	46.1%

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Conclusion

For December 20, 2025, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Emanuel Wilson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.