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NFL player props today: Week 16's best props include Jacory Croskey-Merritt [12/20/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NFL player props today with projections for Saturday's Week 16 games.
Dimers' NFL props are live for December 20, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Emanuel Wilson.
Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Packers vs. Bears and Eagles vs. Commanders, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.
List of NFL prop picks for Week 16 (Saturday)
Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for December 20, ranked by edge.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt over 0.5 receptions (+225)
- Edge: 14.4%
- Probability: 45.2%
- Projection: 0.6
- Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Washington's Jacory Croskey-Merritt over 0.5 receptions. A probability of 45.2% gives this play an edge of 14.4% at +225 odds.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. over 0.5 receiving yards (+130)
- Edge: 11.7%
- Probability: 55.2%
- Projection: 4.9
- Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)
Chris Rodriguez Jr.’s receiving yards prop shows an 11.7% edge at +130 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.9 receiving yards on the over 0.5 line.
Emanuel Wilson anytime touchdown scorer (+270)
- Edge: 11.3%
- Probability: 38.3%
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)
The data highlights value on Emanuel Wilson anytime touchdown scorer, with simulations showing a 38.3% probability and an 11.3% edge at +270.
Chris Moore under 0.5 receiving yards (-125)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 64.8%
- Projection: 1.8
- Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)
Our model projects Chris Moore to record 1.8 receiving yards today, creating an edge of 9.2% on the under 0.5 line at -125 odds.
Kyle Monangai under 11.5 rushing attempts (+103)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 58.1%
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Kyle Monangai under 11.5 rushing attempts for Chicago, showing an edge of 8.9% at +103 odds.
Ben Sinnott over 1.5 receptions (+140)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 50.1%
- Projection: 1.7
- Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)
Ben Sinnott’s receptions prop shows an edge of 8.5% at +140 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.7 today.
Colston Loveland under 4.5 receptions (-145)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 67.6%
- Projection: 3.8
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)
Our model projects Colston Loveland for 3.8 receptions for Chicago, creating an edge of 8.4% on under 4.5 at -145 odds.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. under 11.5 rushing attempts (-124)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 62.6%
- Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Chris Rodriguez Jr. under 11.5 rushing attempts, supported by a 62.6% probability at -124 odds and an edge of 7.3%.
Marcus Mariota over 28.5 passing attempts (-110)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 59.6%
- Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (5:00PM ET)
A 7.2% edge on the over 11.5 passing attempts line makes Marcus Mariota a value play in Eagles vs. Commanders, supported by a 59.6% probability at -110 odds.
Christian Watson over 3.5 receptions (-110)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Projection: 3.3
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)
Simulations project Christian Watson for 3.3 receptions here, creating a 6.5% edge on the over 3.5 line at -110 odds.
NFL player prop summary: Week 16, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 2:09AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Jacory Croskey-Merritt over 0.5 receptions | +225 @ BetMGM | 14.4% | 45.2% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Chris Rodriguez Jr. over 0.5 receiving yards | +130 @ BetMGM | 11.7% | 55.2% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Emanuel Wilson anytime touchdown scorer | +270 @ DraftKings | 9.2% | 64.8% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Chris Moore under 0.5 receiving yards | -125 @ BetMGM | 9.2% | 64.8% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Kyle Monangai under 11.5 rushing attempts | +103 @ DraftKings | 8.9% | 58.1% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Ben Sinnott over 1.5 receptions | +140 @ BetMGM | 8.5% | 50.1% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Colston Loveland under 4.5 receptions | -145 @ BetMGM | 8.4% | 67.6% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Chris Rodriguez Jr. under 11.5 rushing attempts | -124 @ DraftKings | 7.3% | 62.6% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Marcus Mariota over 11.5 passing attempts | -110 @ BetMGM | 7.2% | 59.6% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Christian Watson over 3.5 receptions | -110 @ BetMGM | 6.5% | 58.9% |
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Conclusion
For December 20, 2025, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Emanuel Wilson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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