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NFL player props today: Wild Card Saturday's best props include Emanuel Wilson [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NFL player props today with projections for Saturday's Week 19 games.
Dimers' NFL props are live for January 10, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Emanuel Wilson, Matthew Golden and Jayden Reed.
Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Rams vs. Panthers and Packers vs. Bears, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.
List of NFL prop bets for Wild Card Weekend
Sourced from 25+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for January 10, ranked by edge.
Emanuel Wilson over 0.5 receptions (+145)
- Edge: 10.3%
- Probability: 51.2%
- Projection: 0.7
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Green Bay's Emanuel Wilson over 0.5 receptions. A probability of 51.2% gives this play an edge of 10.3% at +145 odds.
Matthew Golden under 0.5 rushing yards (-145)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 67.3%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
Matthew Golden’s rushing yards prop shows an 8.2% edge at -145 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 rushing yards on the under 0.5 line.
Jayden Reed over 0.5 rushing yards (+105)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Projection: 4.3
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Jayden Reed over 0.5 rushing yards, with simulations showing a 55.3% probability and a 6.5% edge at +105.
Colston Loveland under 4.5 receptions (-145)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 65.4%
- Projection: 3.9
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Colston Loveland to record 3.9 receptions today, creating an edge of 6.3% on the under 4.5 line at -145 odds.
DJ Moore under 1.5 rushing yards (-152)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 65.7%
- Projection: 2.4
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on DJ Moore under 1.5 rushing yards for Chicago, showing an edge of 5.4% at -152 odds.
Emanuel Wilson under 4.5 rushing attempts (-148)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 64.5%
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
Emanuel Wilson’s rushing attempts prop shows an edge of 4.8% at -148 odds, supported by a 64.5% probability according to our model.
Christian Watson under 3.5 receptions (-107)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 56.3%
- Projection: 3.4
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Christian Watson for 3.4 receptions for Green Bay, creating an edge of 4.6% on under 3.5 at -107 odds.
Matthew Golden over 1.5 receptions (+114)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 50.9%
- Projection: 1.7
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Matthew Golden for 1.7 receptions, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +114 odds and a 4.2% edge.
Jordan Love under 3.5 rushing attempts (-165)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 66.3%
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
A 4.1% edge on the under 1.5 rushing attempts line makes Jordan Love a value play in Packers vs. Bears, supported by a 66.3% probability at -165 odds.
Josh Jacobs under 0.5 score 2+ touchdowns (+430)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 22.3%
- Game: Packers vs. Bears (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Josh Jacobs under 0.5 score 2+ touchdowns here, with a 22.3% probability and 3.4% edge at +430 odds.
NFL player prop summary: Wild Card Weekend, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 7:55PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers vs. Bears | Emanuel Wilson over 0.5 receptions | +145 @ BetMGM | 10.3% | 51.2% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Matthew Golden under 0.5 rushing yards | -145 @ BetMGM | 8.2% | 67.3% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jayden Reed over 0.5 rushing yards | +105 @ BetMGM | 6.3% | 65.4% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Colston Loveland under 4.5 receptions | -145 @ BetMGM | 6.3% | 65.4% |
| Packers vs. Bears | DJ Moore under 1.5 rushing yards | -152 @ FanDuel | 5.4% | 65.7% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Emanuel Wilson under 4.5 rushing attempts | -148 @ DraftKings | 4.8% | 64.5% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Christian Watson under 3.5 receptions | -107 @ DraftKings | 4.6% | 56.3% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Matthew Golden over 1.5 receptions | +114 @ FanDuel | 4.2% | 50.9% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jordan Love under 1.5 rushing attempts | -165 @ BetMGM | 4.1% | 66.3% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Josh Jacobs under 0.5 score 2+ touchdowns | +430 @ FanDuel | 3.4% | 22.3% |
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Conclusion
For January 10, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Emanuel Wilson, Matthew Golden and Jayden Reed. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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