NFL Parlay Picks: Rams vs. Cardinals SGP for NFL Saturday Week 17

Week 17 in the NFL already has three games in the books and continues with three more on Saturday, culminating in the NFC West clash between theLos Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals, and we've got our +550 NFL Parlay picks ready to go.

We've selected our best NFL props in the Rams vs. Cardinals game as Los Angeles aim to secure the NFC West crown and the Cardinals look to play spoiler after their elimination from postseason contention.

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+550 Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our Same Game Parlay in Rams vs. Cardinalson NFL Saturday.

MORE: Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Kyler Murray Over 25.5 Rush Yards (-110)

First up is Cardinals QB Kyler Murray as we take him to go over his rushing yards mark of 25.5, something he's done seven times this year, including in his previous game vs. the Rams, though that was way back in Week 2. 

He's got big play potential on the ground, clearing this with a single rush four times this year. The Rams rushing defense has allowed 131.4 yards per game via the rush this season and the last two rushing QBs they faced (Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts) cleared this with ease.

James Conner is banged up heading into this game, questionable though "trending towards playing," but Murray may have to factor more into the rushing game than usual if Conner isn't 100%.

We project Murray for 42.3 rushing yards and a huge 82.3% probability to go over - he's also an Anytime TD value for a side bet at +390 as well.

Leg 2: Cooper Kupp Over 50.5 Rec Yards (-110)

Next, we move to the passing game for the opposition and take Rams WR Cooper Kupp to clear 50.5 receiving yards.

He's coming off a couple of down weeks, including a Week 15 goose egg that probably killed more than a few fantasy teams' playoff runs. Out of eleven games played this season, Kupp cleared this in seven of them.

The Cardinals rank in the middle of the league as far as a passing defense, and have allowed a pair of players to individually clear this line in 5 of their past 10 games. 

Three duds in a row seems unlikely for Cooper Kupp and our model agrees, projecting him for 66.0 receiving yards and a 67.9% probability to go over.

Leg 3: Puka Nacua Anytime TD (-105)

As we like to do, we're closing out with our touchdown prop pick for this game and it's on Cooper Kupp's counterpart, second-year stud Puka Nacua.

Injuries hampered Nacua's early season efforts, but he's picked up four scores in his past six games, including one rushing touchdown. He hasn't scored in his past two, though those games were against some stout defensive play by the Jets and 49ers.

He's a target hog, seeing 8+ targets in all but two games this year, including at least 13 three separate times. The handful of carries that he's gotten lately give him some dual-threat status in the redzone as well.

Our model projects Nacua for the second-highest probability to score in this game at 47.6%, behind only his teammate Kyren Williams.

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season

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