NFL best bets today: Week 15 picks include Ravens vs. Bengals play [12/14/2025]

Bengals +2.5 (-102)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: Ravens vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Bengals +2.5 at -102 odds. A 58.2% probability produces an edge of 7.7%, making this the strongest play for today's NFL slate.

Commanders +2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: Commanders vs. Giants (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Commanders +2.5 carries a 7.0% edge and a probability of 58.2% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Bills vs. Patriots over 49.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Bills vs. Patriots (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Bills vs. Patriots over 49.5 points at -110 odds shows a 4.4% edge, supported by a 56.8% probability in simulations.

Packers ML (-120)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: Packers vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET, Sunday)

A 4.2% edge and 58.7% probability make Packers at the moneyline at a value play in the Packers vs. Broncos matchup, per our model.

Colts +13.5 (+100)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Colts vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET, Sunday)

Colts +13.5 at +100 odds presents a 4.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.1%.

Browns +7.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Browns vs. Bears (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on Browns +7.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 3.4%.

Jets +13.5 (-102)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Jets vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET, Sunday) Our model has uncovered value on Jets +13.5 at -102 odds. A 53.4% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's NFL action.

Bills ML (-118)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Bills vs. Patriots (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 2.9% edge on a 57% probability makes Bills to win at -118 odds a solid value play in today's Bills vs. Patriots matchup.

Packers vs. Broncos under 42.5 points (-104)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Matchup: Packers vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on under 42.5 points at -104 odds. A 53.7% probability produces a 2.8% edge, making the under the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Bengals ML (+140)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 44.4%
• Matchup: Ravens vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Bengals to defeat Ravens at +140 odds shows a 44.4% probability and a 2.7% edge.

NFL best bets summary: Sunday, 12/14/2025

As of 5:32AM ET, here are our top NFL bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Ravens vs. Bengals	Bengals +2.5	-102 @ FanDuel	7.7%	58.2%
Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders +2.5	-105 @ BetMGM	7.0%	58.2%
Bills vs. Patriots	Over 49.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	4.4%	56.8%
Packers vs. Broncos	Packers ML	-120 @ BetMGM	4.2%	58.7%
Colts vs. Seahawks	Colts +13.5	+100 @ DraftKings	4.1%	54.1%
Browns vs. Bears	Browns +7.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.4%	55.8%
Jets vs. Jaguars	Jets +13.5	-102 @ DraftKings	2.9%	53.4%
Bills vs. Patriots	Bills ML	-118 @ FanDuel	2.9%	57%
Packers vs. Broncos	Under 42.5 Points	-104 @ FanDuel	2.8%	53.7%
Ravens vs. Bengals	Bengals ML	+140 @ BetMGM	2.7%	44.4%

List of upcoming NFL games to bet on [12/14/2025]

• Commanders vs. Giants (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Raiders vs. Eagles (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Browns vs. Bears (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Ravens vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Cardinals vs. Texans (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Bills vs. Patriots (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Jets vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Chargers vs. Chiefs (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Colts vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Titans vs. 49ers (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Packers vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Panthers vs. Saints (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Lions vs. Rams (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Vikings vs. Cowboys (8:20PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our NFL best bets are locked and loaded for December 14, 2025, featuring plays such as Bengals +2.5 and Commanders +2.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NFL insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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