Get NFL anytime TD scorer picks today with projections for every matchup.
Our touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Week 17 are based on the latest data and projections.
Our NFL touchdown predictions for Christmas Day Football, Week 17 are live—with Jahmyr Gibbs and Javonte Williams projected as two of the most likely players to score according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
These projections come from Dimers Pro's proprietry model, with our NFL touchdown predictions highlighting which players have the best chance of scoring a touchdown tonight.
In this article, you'll find for Christmas Day Football:
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
First touchdown scorer predictions
TD scorer prop bet with odds of +175
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day, 2025
According to Dimers Pro's proprietary data-driven analysis, Gibbs leads today's Christmas Day, touchdown projections with a 62.4% chance to score, followed by Williams (53.5%) and RJ Harvey (50.6%).
Player (Team)
Anytime TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)
62.4%
Javonte Williams (Cowboys)
53.5%
RJ Harvey (Broncos)
50.6%
Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)
44.9%
Chris Rodriguez (Commanders)
44.5%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)
42.7%
George Pickens (Cowboys)
41.2%
David Montgomery (Lions)
36.9%
Courtland Sutton (Broncos)
35.9%
Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)
34.5%
RJ Harvey is among the top contenders in the NFL to score a touchdown in Week 17, 2025.
Today’s first touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day, 2025
For tonight's first touchdown scorer predictions, the Dimers Pro model again highlights Jahmyr Gibbs with a probability of 17.8%. He is followed closely by RJ Harvey at 16.7% and Javonte Williams at 16.7%. Amon-Ra St. Brown (10.8%) and Courtland Sutton (10.5%) round out the top five.
For the full set of touchdown projections across every Week 17 matchup, check out our NFL player projections, where you can sort by anytime TD, first TD, or even 2+ and 3+ touchdowns to find every player’s scoring probabilities.
Best NFL anytime touchdown scorer picks for Christmas Day, 2025
After thousands of simulations, considering the latest injury news and projected lineups, our model has found the best NFL touchdown scorer bet for Christmas Day.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. anytime touchdown scorer (+175)
The best NFL touchdown bet for Thursday Night Football is in the Cowboys vs. Commanders matchup, where our model has found an edge of 8.1% on Chris Rodriguez Jr. to score an anytime TD at odds of +175 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
For Christmas Day, 2025, our touchdown scorer predictions are set, with Jahmyr Gibbs emerging as the most likely anytime TD scorer and also the top candidate to strike first. Still, it’s Chris Rodriguez Jr. who stands out as the best bet, with our model uncovering a 8.1% edge at +175 odds to find the end zone.
These insights are powered by thousands of simulations and the latest lineup and injury data, giving you a sharper edge on NFL touchdown scorer markets. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
