NFC Championship Picks: The two best wide receivers to bet on in Seahawks-Rams on Sunday

Bet on these two Wide Receivers in the NFC Championship

For those interested in betting on the stars, our model has plenty of data available, with each player's full boxscore projections available in our NFL Projections Hub.

Why you should bet on Rashid Shaheed vs. Rams

Seahawks WR Rashid Shaheed finds himself in a very unique position entering the NFC Championship.

The most a team can play another in a single NFL season is three times - twice in divisional matchups and a third if they meet in the playoffs. 

But Shaheed will face Los Angeles for the fourth time this season, as he was traded from the Saints to the Seahawks midseason, after he had already played against the Rams with New Orleans, and he's no stranger to making his presence known vs. Los Angeles..

Shaheed's biggest impact with Seattle has been in special teams, where he's returned two kicks for touchdowns. He saw a solid amount of targets in his first six games with Seattle, but has seen only 1 or 2 targets in his past four games. He's also been used in spot situations as a rusher, handling at least one carry in 7 of 10 games with Seattle - he had one game with a rushing attempt with New Orleans.

Projections for Rashid Shaheed in the NFC Championship.

If you checked out the Dimers Pro NFL Props earlier this week or our Seahawks-Rams preview on the latest Dimers Sports Betting Podcast, you would have seen some value on Shaheed to go over 0.5 rushing attempts and 0.5 rushing yards.

That individual value is gone, but the Dimers projections point to multiple spots for Shaheed to find success.

Shaheed projects for 8.6 rushing yards and 29.5 receiving yards. His receiving line is set at 22.5, his rushing line at 4.5 and his rushing + receiving line is set at 31.5, all of which our model projects Shaheed to clear.

Each of those markets presents a clear betting opportunity, with a chance for Shaheed to cash in on others as well.

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His longest reception market is set at 14.5, with him at +180 odds on FanDuel to record a reception of at least 20 yards, a feat he's done in three games each with Seattle and New Orleans this season, two of those were games vs. Los Angeles

Looking for big upside at a higher risk? Consider some alternate receiving lines on Rashid Shaheed to record alternate yardage totals.

Why you should bet on Konata Mumpfield vs. Seahawks

Rams WR Konata Mumpfield was a 7th-round pick by the Rams in last year's draft, and his usage has largely reflected that.

However, the Rams have made it a point to slowly increase his role. After seeing 0 targets in his first five games, his snap count began to rise, from no more than 11 snaps in that span, to 30+ offensive snaps in his 10 games since Week 7, peaking with an 8-target performance in Week 16 when Davante Adams was sidelined.

He's also been featured, while sparingly, in the Rams' two playoff games with 3 catches for 22 yards on 4 targets.

The Dimers model projects Mumpfield for 1 catch, 6.3 receiving yards and a 6.9% TD probability, offering two valuable bets according to our model.

One bet is for Mumpfield to record at least 1 reception with a 61.9% probability, available at +105 odds on BetMGM. 

The other bet is a longshot play on Mumpfield to record a touchdown with a 6.9% probability and +2500 odds on Bet365. He has one touchdown this season, and it's a longshot bet, but the odds are mispriced, with our model saying he shouldn't be longer than +1350.

Smart betting isn't about finding a play that will hit 100% of the time - no such thing exists. It's about taking advantage of a valuable betting opportunity when it presents itself.

Mumpfield may have just a 6.9% probability to find the end zone on Sunday, but the sportsbooks say he has just a 3.9% probability, and that's the definition of opportunity.

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