Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Seattle favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/3/2026]
Get New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners predictions for MLB Wednesday.

MLB action continues on Wednesday at 3:40 PM ET as the New York Mets square off with the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
The Mariners will have George Kirby (5-4, 3.77 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets will counter with Freddy Peralta (3-4, 3.54 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mariners as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Mariners game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mariners a 55% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mets vs. Mariners odds [6/3/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-184) | -1.5 (+155) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -140 |
| Total | o7.5 (+102) | u7.5 (-124) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Mariners picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mariners -1.5 | +155 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +120 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | +102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Mariners game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Mariners and Mets at T-Mobile Park is scheduled to start at 3:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
- Date: Wednesday, June 3, 2026
- Time: 3:40 PM ET/12:40PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mariners, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



