Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Seattle favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/3/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners predictions for MLB Wednesday.

New York Mets-Seattle Mariners Predictions and Game Preview.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners MLB prediction for Wednesday, June 3, 2026.

MLB action continues on Wednesday at 3:40 PM ET as the New York Mets square off with the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park.

The Mariners will have George Kirby (5-4, 3.77 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets will counter with Freddy Peralta (3-4, 3.54 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mariners as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Mariners game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB game between the Mets and Mariners, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mariners a 55% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Mets vs. Mariners odds [6/3/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Mariners
Run Line +1.5 (-184) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +120 -140
Total o7.5 (+102) u7.5 (-124)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Mariners picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Mariners -1.5 +155
Moneyline Mets +120
Total Over 7.5 +102

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mets vs. Mariners game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's MLB action between the Mariners and Mets at T-Mobile Park is scheduled to start at 3:40 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Mariners, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Wednesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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