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Mets vs. Pirates Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [6/27/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Friday's New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates matchup.

New York Mets-Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions and Game Preview.
PNC Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates this Friday.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at PNC Park on Friday, commencing at 6:40PM ET.

Mitch Keller (1-10, 4.02 ERA) will be on the bump for the Pirates, pitting him against David Peterson (5-3, 2.98 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Mets-Pirates game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Mets' chance of winning is 56%, while the Pirates' is 44%."

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Pirates predictions page.

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Pirates vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Mets and Pirates 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 56% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 53% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:33PM, Jun 27
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Mets
Win %
56%
44%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Pirates
Mets NYM
Win %
56%
44%
See Matchup
Pirates PIT
David Peterson 5-3, 2.98 ERA
Mitch Keller 1-10, 4.02 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Mets vs. Pirates Odds [6/27/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Pirates
Run Line -1.5 (+122) +1.5 (-135)
Moneyline -140 +120
Total o8.5 (-102) u8.5 (-119)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Pirates Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Pirates matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Mets vs. Pirates Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB game between the Pirates and Mets at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 6:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Mets vs. Pirates matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Pirates picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Pirates insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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