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Mets vs. Angels prediction: Mets favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [5/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels predictions for MLB Friday.
MLB action continues on Friday at 9:38 PM ET as the New York Mets take on the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium.
The Angels will start Walbert Ureña (0-3, 4.76 ERA), while the Mets have opted for Christian Scott (0-0, 6.75 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Angels.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's Mets vs. Angels matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Angels prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB game between the Mets and Angels, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mets a 53% chance of beating the Angels.
According to our model, the Angels (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Angels odds [5/1/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+149) | +1.5 (-170) |
| Moneyline | -108 | -108 |
| Total | o9 (-110) | u9 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Angels picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +149 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -108 |
| Total | Over 9 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Angels game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Angels and Mets at Angel Stadium is scheduled to start at 9:38 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 9:38 PM ET/6:38PM PT
- Venue: Angel Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Angels in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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