Mets vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [4/18/2026]

The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets will meet in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Saturday, starting at 2:20 PM ET.

Jameson Taillon (0-1, 4.86 ERA) will start for the Cubs, while the Mets are going with Freddy Peralta (1-1, 3.86 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Mets vs. Cubs matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Cubs a 51% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51% chance of staying under.

Mets vs. Cubs odds [4/18/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Cubs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: