Jun 2, 2026
MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Grayson Rodriguez [6/2/2026]
Read Article Mets vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [5/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks predictions for MLB Friday.
The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets will lock horns in MLB action at Chase Field on Friday, starting at 9:40 PM ET.
The Diamondbacks will send Ryne Nelson (1-3, 6.61 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Nolan McLean (1-2, 2.98 ERA) for the Mets.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Diamondbacks.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Mets and Diamondbacks, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Mets a 53% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.
According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 58% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds [5/8/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+130) | +1.5 (-155) |
| Moneyline | -125 | +110 |
| Total | o9 (-105) | u9 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +130 |
| Moneyline | Diamondbacks | +110 |
| Total | Over 9 | -105 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB action between the Diamondbacks and Mets at Chase Field is scheduled to begin at 9:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
- Venue: Chase Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
