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Giants vs. Patriots prediction: New England favored to win MNF Week 13, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Giants vs New England Patriots predictions for NFL Monday.
The New England Patriots and New York Giants will meet in Week 13 of the NFL season at Gillette Stadium on Monday, starting at 8:15PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Patriots as the most likely winner of the Giants vs. Patriots game.
This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Giants vs. Patriots prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Giants-Patriots predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Monday's NFL matchup between the Giants and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Patriots a 74% chance of defeating the Giants in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Patriots winning 26-19.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Giants and Patriots each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 13 straight up picks.
Giants vs. Patriots odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Giants | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-122) | -7.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +295 | -350 |
| Total | o46.5 (-110) | u46.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Giants vs. Patriots picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Patriots -7.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Giants | +295 |
| Total | Under 46.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Giants to win.
Giants vs. Patriots TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Giants vs. Patriots?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for MNF, TreVeyon Henderson is most likely to score an anytime TD in Giants vs. Patriots.
Our projections give Henderson a 48.1% chance of scoring a TD at Gillette Stadium, while the running back is an 11.4% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New York Giants
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 32.4% |
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 30.2% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (WR) | 28.3% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 24.8% |
| Theo Johnson (TE) | 24.5% |
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson (RB) | 48.1% |
| Stefon Diggs (WR) | 37.1% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) | 30.0% |
| Hunter Henry (TE) | 29.4% |
| Kayshon Boutte (WR) | 25.7% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
New York Giants
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 6.7% |
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 6.1% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (WR) | 5.7% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 4.9% |
| Theo Johnson (TE) | 4.8% |
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson (RB) | 11.4% |
| Stefon Diggs (WR) | 8.1% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) | 6.2% |
| Hunter Henry (TE) | 6.1% |
| Kayshon Boutte (WR) | 5.2% |
Giants vs Patriots player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Giants and Patriots. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 13 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Giants' Jaxson Dart is projected for 211 passing yards. The Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 246 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (NYG) | 211 |
| Drake Maye (NE) | 246 |
Giants rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy | 49 |
| Jaxson Dart | 31 |
| Devin Singletary | 31 |
Patriots rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson | 65 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 29 |
| Drake Maye | 26 |
Giants receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 63 |
| Theo Johnson | 37 |
| Darius Slayton | 36 |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 30 |
| Tyrone Tracy | 21 |
Patriots receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 57 |
| Hunter Henry | 41 |
| Kayshon Boutte | 38 |
| Mack Hollins | 38 |
| DeMario Douglas | 22 |
Giants vs. Patriots game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 13 action between the Patriots and Giants at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Monday, December 1, 2025
- Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Patriots, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Week 13 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Giants vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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