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Read Article New York City vs. Columbus Crew prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New York City vs Columbus Crew predictions for MLS Sunday.
NY City will take on Columbus in MLS action at Yankee Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts NY City as the most likely winner of the NY City vs. Columbus game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
New York City vs. Columbus Crew prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLS game between NY City and Columbus, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 41.9% chance of NY City winning, a 34.0% chance for Columbus, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
New York City vs. Columbus Crew odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| NY City | Columbus | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +150 | +175 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New York City vs. Columbus Crew picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NY City | +150 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -145 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is NY City to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New York City vs. Columbus Crew: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NYC 1-1 COL | 11.1% |
| NYC 2-1 COL | 8.9% |
| NYC 1-2 COL | 7.9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
New York City vs. Columbus Crew game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between NY City and Columbus in MLS at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:30 PM ET.
- Who: New York City vs. Columbus Crew
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Matt Freese (USA)
NY City goalkeeper Matt Freese is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans as anticipation builds in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event generating demand for World Cup news and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Freese's form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, NY City has a 41.9% win probability on Sunday, Columbus has a 34.0% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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