Columbus vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Columbus vs. NY City MLS match on May 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Columbus
0
:
3
Yankee Stadium
NY City
Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
ColumbusCLB
H. Wolf (12')
Soccer ball icon
H. Wolf (16')
Soccer ball icon
H. Wolf (66')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    >99.9%
  • Draw
    <0.1%
  • Columbus
    <0.1%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces M. Moralez
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces N. Mercau
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces A. Ojeda
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Jones replaces H. Wolf
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces K. Parks
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: A. Sejdic replaces D. Chambost
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: N. Akhundzade replaces H. Picard
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: S. Bangoura replaces A. Gomes
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: M. Farsi replaces A. Herrera
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: D. Gazdag replaces T. Habroune
  11. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf, assisted by N. Mercau
    0-3
  12. 63'
    Yellow Card
    T. Habroune (Columbus Crew) cautioned
  13. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf, assisted by N. Mercau
    0-2
  14. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf, assisted by A. Ojeda
    0-1

Columbus vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Columbus vs. NY City
  • Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Columbus +175, NY City +150, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Columbus: 34.0%
  • NY City: 41.9%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Columbus 1-1 NY City (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Columbus vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.9%.

The most likely correct score is Columbus 1-1 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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