Austin vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Austin vs. Minnesota MLS match on May 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Austin
2
:
2
Allianz Field
Minnesota
Allianz Field
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
AustinAUS
A. Markanich (69')
Soccer ball icon
J. Pereyra (77')
Soccer ball icon
M. Uzuni (pen.) (14')
Soccer ball icon
C. Ramirez (79')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Minnesota
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Austin
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces J. Bell
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Gonzalez replaces O. Gene
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Vazquez replaces C. Ramirez
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Boxall replaces D. Padelford
  5. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by C. Ramirez, assisted by F. Torres
    2-2
  6. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by J. Pereyra, assisted by J. Rodriguez
    1-2
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: D. Pereira replaces I. Sanchez
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: O. Wolff replaces J. Gallagher
  9. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by J. Rodriguez
    1-1
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Rodriguez replaces T. Chancalay
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: W. Trapp replaces N. Triantis
  12. 47'
    Yellow Card
    O. Gene (Minnesota United) cautioned
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    F. Torres (Austin FC) cautioned
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Pereyra (Minnesota United) cautioned
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gallagher (Austin FC) cautioned
  16. 44'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Bell replaces B. Hines-Ike
  17. 42'
    Yellow Card
    T. Chancalay (Minnesota United) cautioned
  18. 40'
    Yellow Card
    N. Triantis (Minnesota United) cautioned
  19. 29'
    Yellow Card
    J. Diaz (Minnesota United) cautioned
  20. 27'
    Penalty missed by K. Yeboah for Minnesota United
  21. 21'
    Penalty missed by K. Yeboah for Minnesota United
  22. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by M. Uzuni (pen.)
    1-0

Austin vs. Minnesota: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +380, Minnesota -130, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Austin: 19.0%
  • Minnesota: 58.8%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Austin 0-1 Minnesota (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Austin vs. Minnesota? Prediction & correct score

Minnesota is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.8%.

The most likely correct score is Austin 0-1 Minnesota.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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