Atlanta United vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, MLS Cup Wildcard Round picks [10/24/2026]

MLS Cup action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as Chicago takes on Atlanta in the Wildcard Round at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Atlanta as the most likely winner in this Atlanta vs. Chicago prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Atlanta United vs. Chicago Fire prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Atlanta and Chicago, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 38.6% chance of Atlanta winning, a 38.0% chance for Chicago, and a 23.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 62.3% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Chicago +145, Atlanta +178
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-203/+194)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup Wildcard Round

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Atlanta @ +178 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +194 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Atlanta 1-1 Chicago (10.4% probability)
• Atlanta 2-1 Chicago (8.4%)
• Atlanta 1-2 Chicago (8.3%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Atlanta and Chicago in MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta United vs. Chicago Fire
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atlanta has a 38.6% win probability on Saturday, Chicago has a 38.0% win probability, and there is a 23.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.