Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United prediction, odds, MLS Cup Wildcard Round picks [10/24/2026]

Houston will take on Minnesota in the MLS Cup Wildcard Round at Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Houston as the most likely winner in this Houston vs. Minnesota prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Houston and Minnesota, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 48.0% chance of Houston winning, a 28.0% chance for Minnesota, and a 24.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.9% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Minnesota +230, Houston +130
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup Wildcard Round

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Houston @ +130 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +133 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Houston to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Houston 1-1 Minnesota (11.2% probability)
• Houston 2-1 Minnesota (9.5%)
• Houston 1-0 Minnesota (9.1%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Houston and Minnesota in MLS at Shell Energy Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30 PM PT
• Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Houston has a 48.0% win probability on Saturday, Minnesota has a 28.0% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.