Real Salt Lake vs. St Louis City prediction, odds, MLS Cup Wildcard Round picks [10/24/2026]

Salt Lake and St Louis City will lock horns in the MLS Cup Wildcard Round at America First Field on Saturday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Salt Lake as the most likely winner in this Salt Lake vs. St Louis City prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Real Salt Lake vs. St Louis City prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Salt Lake and St Louis City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 39.1% chance of Salt Lake winning, a 37.3% chance for St Louis City, and a 23.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61.3% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: St Louis City +203, Salt Lake +140
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-178/+170)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup Wildcard Round

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: St Louis City @ +203 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +170 via Novig

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is St Louis City to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Salt Lake 1-1 St Louis City (10.6% probability)
• Salt Lake 2-1 St Louis City (8.5%)
• Salt Lake 1-2 St Louis City (8.2%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Salt Lake and St Louis City in MLS at America First Field is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Real Salt Lake vs. St Louis City
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30 PM PT
• Venue: America First Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Salt Lake has a 39.1% win probability on Saturday, St Louis City has a 37.3% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.