Orlando City vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS Cup Wildcard Round picks [10/24/2026]

Orlando will take on NY City in the MLS Cup Wildcard Round on Saturday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Orlando as the most likely winner in this Orlando vs. NY City prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Orlando City vs. New York City prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Orlando and NY City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 50.3% chance of Orlando winning, a 28.1% chance for NY City, and a 21.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 67.6% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY City +223, Orlando +130
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-210/+203)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup Wildcard Round

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Orlando @ +130 via Fanatics
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -210 via DraftKings

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Orlando to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Orlando win being the most probable:

• Orlando 2-1 NY City (9.2% probability)
• Orlando 1-1 NY City (9.1%)
• Orlando 1-2 NY City (6.7%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Orlando and NY City is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Orlando City vs. New York City
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Orlando has a 50.3% win probability on Saturday, NY City has a 28.1% win probability, and there is a 21.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.