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New York City vs. Charlotte FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New York City vs Charlotte FC predictions for MLS Saturday.
NY City and Charlotte will meet in MLS action at Yankee Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts NY City as the most likely winner of the NY City vs. Charlotte game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
New York City vs. Charlotte FC prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between NY City and Charlotte, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 50.9% chance of NY City winning, a 25.7% chance for Charlotte, and a 23.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
New York City vs. Charlotte FC odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| NY City | Charlotte | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -120 | +320 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -135 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New York City vs. Charlotte FC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte | +320 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -110 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New York City vs. Charlotte FC: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NYC 1-1 CLT | 11% |
| NYC 2-1 CLT | 9.7% |
| NYC 1-0 CLT | 9.2% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
New York City vs. Charlotte FC game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between NY City and Charlotte in MLS at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: New York City vs. Charlotte FC
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Matt Freese (USA)
NY City goalkeeper Matt Freese is one to watch for USMNT fans as excitement ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—a tournament generating plenty of World Cup news and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Freese's MLS form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, NY City has a 50.9% win probability on Saturday, Charlotte has a 25.7% win probability, and there is a 23.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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